Home / NBA Projections NBA / Raptors @ Knicks TOR @ NY

TORONTO

RAPTORSTOR

45-35  |  Road

95
FINAL
Fri, Apr 10 • 7:30 PM ET
Madison Square Garden
View Odds Details →

NEW YORK

KNICKSNY

52-28  |  Home

112
AI Model Win Probability
RAPTORS
0%
📊
KNICKS
100%
RAPTORS --
KNICKS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
234.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+6.0
NEW YORK
Book Spread
--
Book Line
RaptorsTOR (-3.5) 0 KnicksNY (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Raptors Cover

27.4%

Knicks Cover

72.6%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around NY +6.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (NY)

TOR By 1-7 points

26.8%

TOR By 8-14 points

24.3%

NY By 1-7 points

16.9%

NY By 8-14 points

6.8%

AI Model Projected Score
120
TORONTO
114
NEW YORK
Simulated Score
105
TORONTO
112
NEW YORK
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Raptors Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Knicks Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Knicks (+6.5) Win
Proj Spread: +6.0
D
Sim Knicks (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -7.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o219.5 Loss
Proj Total: 234.0
D
Sim u219.5 Win
Proj Total: 217.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Apr 10, 2026 TOR @ NY 95 - 112
Mar 3, 2026 NY @ TOR 111 - 95
Jan 28, 2026 NY @ TOR 119 - 92
Dec 9, 2025 NY @ TOR 117 - 101
Nov 30, 2025 TOR @ NY 94 - 116
Key Model Drivers
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +2.6%
Toronto: 41.2% vs New York: 38.6%
Turnovers (L5) +9.3% more
New York: 12.0 vs Toronto: 11.0
Free Throw % (L5) +5.8%
New York: 79.1% vs Toronto: 73.3%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
TOR Score 120.0 95
NY Score 114.0 112
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 38.6 / 41.2 26.0 / 40.0
Assists 28.9 / 30.0 24.0 / 24.0
Blocks 3.8 / 3.9 0.0 / 0.0
Field Goal % 51.6 / 50.5 55.0 / 49.0
Free Throw % 79.1 / 73.3 81.0 / 65.0
Rebounding 41.2 / 42.8 37.0 / 32.0
Steals 8.7 / 9.1 10.0 / 7.0
Turnovers 12.0 / 11.0 12.0 / 18.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
13%TICKETS87%
24%MONEY76%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
44%TICKETS56%
34%MONEY66%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
75%TICKETS25%
66%MONEY34%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
TOR
49-40-0 (55.1%)
Margin: 2.5 ATS +/-: +1.4
NY Advantage
70-32-0 (68.6%)
Margin: 8.0 ATS +/-: +3.5
🎯 ATS (Spread)
TOR
46-43-0 (51.7%)
Margin: 2.5 ATS +/-: +1.4
NY Advantage
58-44-0 (56.9%)
Margin: 8.0 ATS +/-: +3.5
⚖️ Over/Under
TOR
37-52-0
O: 41.6% / U: 58.4% Total +/-: -1.8
NY
47-55-0
O: 46.1% / U: 53.9% Total +/-: -1.4
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
NY
TOR
NY
TOR
ML
61% 114-72
55% 57-47
56% 57-45
55% 48-39
ATS
67% 124-62
61% 62-40-2
56% 57-45
55% 48-39
TTL
72% 133-53
60% 62-42
100% 102-0
100% 87-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
Contextual Game News
Walt Frazier Dubs Anthony Davis 'Street Clothes' as Wizards Debu…
yahoo 0 minutes ago
Tyler Kolek's Girlfriend Spills: Knicks Parade Police Mix-Up Hap…
nypost 3 hours, 28 minutes ago
Matt Barnes: Clippers Are Cursed, Urges Steve Ballmer to Rebrand
tmz 3 hours, 44 minutes ago
ATLAS League Launches to Crown World Champion in High School Bas…
yahoo 3 hours, 52 minutes ago
Adam Fox Quietly Dominating as Rangers Surge Early in 2026-27
si 15 hours, 59 minutes ago