AI Model Win Probability
MAGIC
0%
BULLS
100%
MAGIC
--
BULLS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
249.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-21.0
ORLANDO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +21.0 points (Orlando)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around ORL -21.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (ORL)
ORL By 1-7 points
6.8%
ORL By 8-14 points
16.9%
CHI By 1-7 points
1.4%
CHI By 8-14 points
0.2%
AI Model Projected Score
Orlando
135
ORLANDO
Chicago
114
CHICAGO
Simulated Score
Orlando
103
ORLANDO
Chicago
108
CHICAGO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Magic
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Bulls
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Magic (+16)
Win
Proj Spread: -21.0
D
Sim
Bulls (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o246.0
Loss
Proj Total: 249.0
D
Sim
u246.0
Win
Proj Total: 211.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Apr 10, 2026
ORL @ CHI
127 - 103
Jan 2, 2026
ORL @ CHI
114 - 121
Dec 1, 2025
CHI @ ORL
120 - 125
Oct 25, 2025
CHI @ ORL
110 - 98
Mar 6, 2025
CHI @ ORL
125 - 123
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+9.7% more
Orlando: 5.0
vs
Chicago: 4.5
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+6.5%
Orlando: 37.2%
vs
Chicago: 30.7%
Field Goal % (L5)
+3.3%
Orlando: 49.8%
vs
Chicago: 46.5%
Steals (L5)
+20.0% more
Chicago: 10.3
vs
Orlando: 8.6
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
ORL Score
135.0
127
CHI Score
114.0
103
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
30.7 / 37.2
26.0 / 35.0
Assists
27.6 / 29.7
25.0 / 33.0
Blocks
4.5 / 5.0
5.0 / 6.0
Field Goal %
46.5 / 49.8
44.0 / 52.0
Free Throw %
82.0 / 77.5
65.0 / 67.0
Rebounding
47.8 / 44.1
42.0 / 47.0
Steals
10.3 / 8.6
10.0 / 12.0
Turnovers
15.9 / 16.4
20.0 / 15.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
ORL
Advantage
49-42-0
(53.8%)
Margin: 0.4
ATS +/-: -1.2
CHI
31-51-0
(37.8%)
Margin: -5.2
ATS +/-: -1.9
🎯 ATS (Spread)
ORL
43-48-0
(47.3%)
Margin: 0.4
ATS +/-: -1.2
CHI
Advantage
39-43-0
(47.6%)
Margin: -5.2
ATS +/-: -1.9
⚖️ Over/Under
ORL
47-44-0
O: 51.7% / U: 48.4%
Total +/-: +0.7
CHI
38-44-0
O: 46.3% / U: 53.7%
Total +/-: +0.5
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CHI
ORL
CHI
ORL
ML
56%
54-42
61%
65-42
57%
46-35
56%
51-40
ATS
65%
62-33-1
64%
68-38-1
57%
46-35
56%
51-40
TTL
58%
56-40
57%
61-46
100%
81-0
100%
91-0