MEMPHIS
GRIZZLIESMEM
25-55 | Road
101
UTAH
JAZZUTAH
21-59 | Home
147
AI Model Win Probability
GRIZZLIES
0%
JAZZ
100%
GRIZZLIES
--
JAZZ
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
230.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-14.0
MEMPHIS
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +14.0 points (Memphis)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around MEM -14.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (MEM)
MEM By 1-7 points
16.9%
MEM By 8-14 points
26.2%
UTAH By 1-7 points
5.8%
UTAH By 8-14 points
1.4%
AI Model Projected Score
Memphis
122
MEMPHIS
Utah
108
UTAH
Simulated Score
Memphis
115
MEMPHIS
Utah
112
UTAH
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Grizzlies
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Grizzlies
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Grizzlies (-3.5)
Loss
Proj Spread: -14.0
D
Sim
Grizzlies (-0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -3.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u248.5
Win
Proj Total: 230.0
D
Sim
u248.5
Win
Proj Total: 227.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Apr 10, 2026
MEM @ UTAH
101 - 147
Feb 20, 2026
UTAH @ MEM
114 - 123
Dec 23, 2025
MEM @ UTAH
137 - 128
Dec 12, 2025
UTAH @ MEM
130 - 126
Mar 25, 2025
MEM @ UTAH
140 - 103
Key Model Drivers
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+6.9%
Memphis: 39.1%
vs
Utah: 32.2%
Steals (L5)
+30.1% more
Utah: 10.0
vs
Memphis: 7.7
Assists (L5)
+24.4% more
Utah: 31.7
vs
Memphis: 25.5
Turnovers (L5)
+22.6% more
Utah: 14.8
vs
Memphis: 12.1
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
MEM Score
122.0
101
UTAH Score
108.0
147
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
32.2 / 39.1
43.0 / 21.0
Assists
31.7 / 25.5
43.0 / 27.0
Blocks
2.8 / 2.4
5.0 / 2.0
Field Goal %
47.4 / 45.5
56.0 / 38.0
Free Throw %
76.3 / 73.4
47.0 / 89.0
Rebounding
42.4 / 34.9
64.0 / 47.0
Steals
10.0 / 7.7
16.0 / 10.0
Turnovers
14.8 / 12.1
16.0 / 20.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
MEM
Advantage
25-57-0
(30.5%)
Margin: -6.0
ATS +/-: -0.6
UTAH
22-60-0
(26.8%)
Margin: -8.4
ATS +/-: -0.2
🎯 ATS (Spread)
MEM
37-45-0
(45.1%)
Margin: -6.0
ATS +/-: -0.6
UTAH
Advantage
41-41-0
(50.0%)
Margin: -8.4
ATS +/-: -0.2
⚖️ Over/Under
MEM
43-39-0
O: 52.4% / U: 47.6%
Total +/-: +1.4
UTAH
49-33-0
O: 59.8% / U: 40.2%
Total +/-: +5.7
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
UTAH
MEM
UTAH
MEM
ML
60%
96-63
57%
59-44
48%
40-43
50%
41-41
ATS
68%
108-51
63%
65-38
48%
40-43
50%
41-41
TTL
75%
119-39-1
70%
71-31-1
100%
83-0
100%
82-0
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