DETROIT
PISTONSDET
58-22 | Road
118
CHARLOTTE
HORNETSCHA
43-37 | Home
100
AI Model Win Probability
PISTONS
100%
HORNETS
0%
PISTONS
--
HORNETS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
254.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-8.0
CHARLOTTE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +8.0 points (Charlotte)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around CHA -8.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CHA)
DET By 1-7 points
13.7%
DET By 8-14 points
4.8%
CHA By 1-7 points
25.3%
CHA By 8-14 points
26.2%
AI Model Projected Score
Detroit
123
DETROIT
Charlotte
131
CHARLOTTE
Simulated Score
Detroit
111
DETROIT
Charlotte
117
CHARLOTTE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Hornets
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Hornets
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Hornets (-6.5)
Loss
Proj Spread: -8.0
D
Sim
Hornets (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -6.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o225.5
Loss
Proj Total: 254.0
D
Sim
u225.5
Win
Proj Total: 228.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Apr 10, 2026
DET @ CHA
118 - 100
Feb 9, 2026
DET @ CHA
110 - 104
Dec 20, 2025
CHA @ DET
86 - 112
Feb 9, 2025
CHA @ DET
102 - 112
Jan 3, 2025
CHA @ DET
94 - 98
Key Model Drivers
Free Throw % (L5)
+4.0%
Charlotte: 82.9%
vs
Detroit: 78.9%
Blocks (L5)
+53.4% more
Detroit: 7.4
vs
Charlotte: 3.5
Steals (L5)
+33.4% more
Detroit: 9.6
vs
Charlotte: 6.4
Assists (L5)
+19.9% more
Detroit: 33.7
vs
Charlotte: 27.0
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
DET Score
123.0
118
CHA Score
131.0
100
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
37.9 / 41.8
28.0 / 33.0
Assists
27.0 / 33.7
16.0 / 29.0
Blocks
3.5 / 7.4
8.0 / 8.0
Field Goal %
46.6 / 52.2
39.0 / 51.0
Free Throw %
82.9 / 78.9
83.0 / 73.0
Rebounding
44.3 / 42.8
41.0 / 49.0
Steals
6.4 / 9.6
10.0 / 13.0
Turnovers
13.1 / 15.5
16.0 / 15.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
DET
Advantage
67-29-0
(69.8%)
Margin: 7.2
ATS +/-: +2.0
CHA
45-39-0
(53.6%)
Margin: 4.4
ATS +/-: +4.4
🎯 ATS (Spread)
DET
50-46-0
(52.1%)
Margin: 7.2
ATS +/-: +2.0
CHA
Advantage
50-34-0
(59.5%)
Margin: 4.4
ATS +/-: +4.4
⚖️ Over/Under
DET
45-50-1
O: 47.4% / U: 52.6%
Total +/-: -0.8
CHA
32-52-0
O: 38.1% / U: 61.9%
Total +/-: -3.4
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CHA
DET
CHA
DET
ML
61%
60-39
55%
64-53
48%
40-44
49%
47-49
ATS
60%
59-40
53%
60-54-3
48%
40-44
49%
47-49
TTL
58%
57-42
60%
70-46-1
100%
84-0
100%
96-0
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