LA
CLIPPERSLAC
41-39 | Road
97
PORTLAND
TRAIL BLAZERSPOR
40-40 | Home
116
AI Model Win Probability
CLIPPERS
100%
TRAIL BLAZERS
0%
CLIPPERS
--
TRAIL BLAZERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
244.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-4.0
PORTLAND
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +4.0 points (Portland)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around POR -4.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (POR)
LAC By 1-7 points
20.1%
LAC By 8-14 points
9.3%
POR By 1-7 points
27.4%
POR By 8-14 points
21.6%
AI Model Projected Score
LA
120
LA
Portland
124
PORTLAND
Simulated Score
LA
105
LA
Portland
118
PORTLAND
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Trail Blazers
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Trail Blazers
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Trail Blazers (-1.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Sim
Trail Blazers (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -13.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o226.5
Loss
Proj Total: 244.0
D
Sim
u226.5
Win
Proj Total: 223.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Apr 10, 2026
LAC @ POR
97 - 116
Mar 31, 2026
POR @ LAC
114 - 104
Dec 26, 2025
LAC @ POR
119 - 103
Oct 26, 2025
POR @ LAC
107 - 114
Jan 16, 2025
LAC @ POR
118 - 89
Key Model Drivers
Turnovers (L5)
+25.8% more
Portland: 17.1
vs
LA: 13.6
Blocks (L5)
+21.5% more
Portland: 5.8
vs
LA: 4.8
Free Throw % (L5)
+5.3%
LA: 75.7%
vs
Portland: 70.4%
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+2.7%
LA: 39.9%
vs
Portland: 37.3%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
LAC Score
120.0
97
POR Score
124.0
116
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
37.3 / 39.9
31.0 / 32.0
Assists
26.1 / 25.1
23.0 / 17.0
Blocks
5.8 / 4.8
7.0 / 3.0
Field Goal %
46.1 / 48.0
45.0 / 43.0
Free Throw %
70.4 / 75.7
86.0 / 100.0
Rebounding
44.1 / 41.1
46.0 / 35.0
Steals
8.9 / 9.4
12.0 / 6.0
Turnovers
17.1 / 13.6
15.0 / 17.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
LAC
Advantage
42-41-0
(50.6%)
Margin: 1.1
ATS +/-: -0.4
POR
44-44-0
(50.0%)
Margin: -0.9
ATS +/-: -0.4
🎯 ATS (Spread)
LAC
42-41-0
(50.6%)
Margin: 1.1
ATS +/-: -0.4
POR
Advantage
46-42-0
(52.3%)
Margin: -0.9
ATS +/-: -0.4
⚖️ Over/Under
LAC
41-42-0
O: 49.4% / U: 50.6%
Total +/-: +2.2
POR
44-44-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0%
Total +/-: -1.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
POR
LAC
POR
LAC
ML
53%
56-49
60%
59-40
55%
49-40
55%
45-37
ATS
62%
65-39-1
66%
65-33-1
55%
49-40
55%
45-37
TTL
56%
58-46-1
59%
58-40-1
100%
89-0
100%
82-0
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