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TEXAS

RANGERSTEX

7-5  |  Road

7
FINAL
Fri, Apr 10 • 10:10 PM ET
Dodger Stadium
View Odds Details →

LOS ANGELES

DODGERSLAD

9-3  |  Home

8
Probable Pitchers
Jacob Latz
STARTING PITCHER

Jacob Latz

#67 | Relief Pitcher
@
Edwin Diaz
STARTING PITCHER

Edwin Diaz

#3 | Relief Pitcher
Player W-L ERA WHIP IP K
Jacob Latz None-None 0.93 -- 0.2 2
Edwin Diaz None-None 6.00 -- 1.0 2
None-None W-L None-None
0.93 Ldr ERA 6.00
-- WHIP --
0.2 IP (Innings Pitched) Ldr 1.0
2 K (Strikeouts) 2
AI Model Win Probability
RANGERS
0%
📊
DODGERS
100%
RANGERS --
DODGERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
5.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+1.0
LOS ANGELES
Book Spread
--
Book Line
RangersTEX (-3.5) 0 DodgersLAD (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Rangers Cover

40.1%

Dodgers Cover

59.9%

-12-8-40+4+8+12
Distribution centered around LAD +1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (LAD)

TEX By 1-2 runs

19.6%

TEX By 3-4 runs

16.3%

LAD By 1-2 runs

16.3%

LAD By 3-4 runs

10.6%

AI Model Projected Score
3
TEXAS
2
LOS ANGELES
Simulated Score
4
TEXAS
6
LOS ANGELES
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Rangers Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Dodgers Win
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI Dodgers (+1.5) Win
Proj Runs: +1.0
D
Sim Dodgers (+1.5) Win
Proj Runs: -2.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u8.5 Loss
Proj Total: 5.0
D
Sim o8.5 Win
Proj Total: 10.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Apr 12, 2026 TEX @ LAD 5 - 2
Apr 11, 2026 TEX @ LAD 3 - 6
Apr 10, 2026 TEX @ LAD 7 - 8
Apr 20, 2025 LAD @ TEX 1 - 0
Apr 19, 2025 LAD @ TEX 3 - 4
Season Statistics Comparison
Texas TEX
vs
Los Angeles LAD
162
Games Played
162
4.15
Runs / Game
▲ 4.94
.242
Avg (AVG)
▲ .257
.317
On-Base (OBP)
▲ .338
.396
Slugging (SLG)
▲ .424
.713
OPS
▲ .762
183
Home Runs
▲ 204
Key Model Drivers
Strikeouts (L5) +36.7% more
Texas: 10.3 vs Los Angeles: 6.5
Home Runs (L5) +96.0% more
Los Angeles: 1.4 vs Texas: 0.5
Walks (L5) +76.7% more
Los Angeles: 3.9 vs Texas: 2.2
Total Bases (L5) +68.3% more
Los Angeles: 15.4 vs Texas: 9.1
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
TEX Score 3.0 7
LAD Score 2.0 8
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors 0.7 / 0.3 0.0 / 0.0
Hits 9.8 / 6.4 15.0 / 9.0
Home Runs 1.4 / 0.5 4.0 / 3.0
Strikeouts 6.5 / 10.3 14.0 / 7.0
Total Bases 15.4 / 9.1 29.0 / 18.0
Walks 3.9 / 2.2 3.0 / 4.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
6%TICKETS94%
12%MONEY88%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
12%TICKETS88%
30%MONEY70%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
54%TICKETS46%
20%MONEY80%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
TEX
80-82-0 (49.4%)
Margin: -0.3 ATS +/-:
LAD Advantage
103-63-0 (62.1%)
Margin: 1.2 ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
TEX Advantage
(48.2%)
Margin: -0.3 ATS +/-:
LAD
(43.4%)
Margin: 1.2 ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
TEX
84-69-9
O: 54.9% / U: 45.1% Total +/-: +0.6
LAD
72-89-5
O: 44.7% / U: 55.3% Total +/-: 0.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
LAD
TEX
LAD
TEX
ML
56% 92-73
53% 86-76
48% 79-87
57% 91-70
ATS
59% 98-67
57% 92-70
43% 72-94
61% 98-63
TTL
48% 77-82-6
53% 78-70-14
44% 70-90-6
55% 81-66-14
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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