BOSTON
CELTICSBOS
54-25 | Road
106
NEW YORK
KNICKSNY
51-28 | Home
112
AI Model Win Probability
CELTICS
0%
KNICKS
100%
CELTICS
--
KNICKS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
240.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-22.0
BOSTON
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +22.0 points (Boston)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around BOS -22.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (BOS)
BOS By 1-7 points
5.8%
BOS By 8-14 points
15.3%
NY By 1-7 points
1.1%
NY By 8-14 points
0.1%
AI Model Projected Score
Boston
131
BOSTON
New York
109
NEW YORK
Simulated Score
Boston
108
BOSTON
New York
115
NEW YORK
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Celtics
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Knicks
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Celtics (-3.5)
Loss
Proj Spread: -22.0
D
Sim
Knicks (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -7.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o212.5
Win
Proj Total: 240.0
D
Sim
u212.5
Win
Proj Total: 223.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Apr 9, 2026
BOS @ NY
106 - 112
Feb 8, 2026
NY @ BOS
111 - 89
Dec 2, 2025
NY @ BOS
117 - 123
Oct 24, 2025
BOS @ NY
95 - 105
May 16, 2025
BOS @ NY
81 - 119
Key Model Drivers
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+2.5%
Boston: 38.9%
vs
New York: 36.4%
Blocks (L5)
+30.3% more
New York: 4.7
vs
Boston: 3.6
Steals (L5)
+24.7% more
New York: 8.5
vs
Boston: 6.8
Assists (L5)
+13.3% more
New York: 28.8
vs
Boston: 25.4
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
BOS Score
131.0
106
NY Score
109.0
112
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
36.4 / 38.9
43.0 / 37.0
Assists
28.8 / 25.4
29.0 / 23.0
Blocks
4.7 / 3.6
2.0 / 1.0
Field Goal %
50.4 / 51.0
54.0 / 45.0
Free Throw %
82.1 / 80.3
73.0 / 88.0
Rebounding
46.8 / 45.9
30.0 / 42.0
Steals
8.5 / 6.8
9.0 / 4.0
Turnovers
14.5 / 13.4
7.0 / 11.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
BOS
59-30-0
(66.3%)
Margin: 7.3
ATS +/-: +2.2
NY
Advantage
70-32-0
(68.6%)
Margin: 8.0
ATS +/-: +3.5
🎯 ATS (Spread)
BOS
Advantage
51-38-0
(57.3%)
Margin: 7.3
ATS +/-: +2.2
NY
58-44-0
(56.9%)
Margin: 8.0
ATS +/-: +3.5
⚖️ Over/Under
BOS
32-57-0
O: 36.0% / U: 64.0%
Total +/-: -3.2
NY
47-55-0
O: 46.1% / U: 53.9%
Total +/-: -1.4
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
NY
BOS
NY
BOS
ML
61%
114-72
57%
61-46
56%
57-45
53%
47-41
ATS
67%
124-62
59%
61-43-3
56%
57-45
53%
47-41
TTL
72%
133-53
56%
60-47
100%
102-0
100%
88-0
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