INDIANA
PACERSIND
18-61 | Road
123
BROOKLYN
NETSBKN
20-59 | Home
94
AI Model Win Probability
PACERS
0%
NETS
100%
PACERS
--
NETS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
238.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+2.0
BROOKLYN
Book Spread
--
Book Line
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around BKN +2.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (BKN)
IND By 1-7 points
26.8%
IND By 8-14 points
18.6%
BKN By 1-7 points
23.0%
BKN By 8-14 points
12.2%
AI Model Projected Score
Indiana
120
INDIANA
Brooklyn
118
BROOKLYN
Simulated Score
Indiana
110
INDIANA
Brooklyn
115
BROOKLYN
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Pacers
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Nets
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Nets (+2.5)
Win
Proj Spread: +2.0
D
Sim
Nets (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o224.5
Loss
Proj Total: 238.0
D
Sim
u224.5
Win
Proj Total: 225.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Apr 9, 2026
IND @ BKN
123 - 94
Feb 11, 2026
IND @ BKN
115 - 110
Nov 5, 2025
BKN @ IND
112 - 103
Mar 22, 2025
BKN @ IND
103 - 108
Mar 20, 2025
BKN @ IND
99 - 105
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5)
+25.3% more
Indiana: 30.2
vs
Brooklyn: 22.5
Rebounding (L5)
+15.1% more
Indiana: 39.4
vs
Brooklyn: 33.4
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+4.1%
Indiana: 39.4%
vs
Brooklyn: 35.3%
Field Goal % (L5)
+2.0%
Indiana: 47.5%
vs
Brooklyn: 45.6%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
IND Score
120.0
123
BKN Score
118.0
94
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
35.3 / 39.4
21.0 / 26.0
Assists
22.5 / 30.2
20.0 / 43.0
Blocks
5.1 / 2.0
5.0 / 5.0
Field Goal %
45.6 / 47.5
39.0 / 52.0
Free Throw %
85.4 / 81.4
63.0 / 72.0
Rebounding
33.4 / 39.4
43.0 / 66.0
Steals
10.4 / 8.4
2.0 / 4.0
Turnovers
14.8 / 15.9
10.0 / 12.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
IND
19-63-0
(23.2%)
Margin: -8.0
ATS +/-: -1.6
BKN
Advantage
20-62-0
(24.4%)
Margin: -10.0
ATS +/-: -1.3
🎯 ATS (Spread)
IND
Advantage
40-42-0
(48.8%)
Margin: -8.0
ATS +/-: -1.6
BKN
38-43-1
(46.9%)
Margin: -10.0
ATS +/-: -1.3
⚖️ Over/Under
IND
41-41-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0%
Total +/-: +0.8
BKN
37-45-0
O: 45.1% / U: 54.9%
Total +/-: -0.7
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
BKN
IND
BKN
IND
ML
53%
50-45
48%
47-50
59%
48-34
54%
45-38
ATS
52%
48-44-3
59%
57-40
59%
48-34
54%
45-38
TTL
57%
54-41
54%
52-45
100%
82-0
100%
83-0
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