CHICAGO
BULLSCHI
30-49 | Road
119
WASHINGTON
WIZARDSWSH
17-62 | Home
108
AI Model Win Probability
BULLS
0%
WIZARDS
100%
BULLS
--
WIZARDS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
248.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-8.0
CHICAGO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +8.0 points (Chicago)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around CHI -8.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CHI)
CHI By 1-7 points
25.3%
CHI By 8-14 points
26.2%
WSH By 1-7 points
13.7%
WSH By 8-14 points
4.8%
AI Model Projected Score
Chicago
128
CHICAGO
Washington
120
WASHINGTON
Simulated Score
Chicago
105
CHICAGO
Washington
115
WASHINGTON
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Bulls
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Wizards
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Bulls (+6.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -8.0
D
Sim
Wizards (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -10.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u248.5
Win
Proj Total: 248.0
D
Sim
u248.5
Win
Proj Total: 220.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Apr 9, 2026
CHI @ WSH
119 - 108
Apr 7, 2026
CHI @ WSH
129 - 98
Nov 22, 2025
WSH @ CHI
120 - 121
Apr 11, 2025
WSH @ CHI
89 - 119
Jan 10, 2025
WSH @ CHI
105 - 138
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5)
+16.4% more
Chicago: 28.4
vs
Washington: 23.8
Rebounding (L5)
+10.0% more
Chicago: 46.1
vs
Washington: 41.5
Steals (L5)
+8.9% more
Chicago: 9.4
vs
Washington: 8.6
Free Throw % (L5)
+4.5%
Chicago: 74.9%
vs
Washington: 70.5%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
CHI Score
128.0
119
WSH Score
120.0
108
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
33.9 / 31.0
26.0 / 30.0
Assists
23.8 / 28.4
24.0 / 26.0
Blocks
4.6 / 4.8
8.0 / 4.0
Field Goal %
47.9 / 46.7
40.0 / 46.0
Free Throw %
70.5 / 74.9
81.0 / 96.0
Rebounding
41.5 / 46.1
52.0 / 51.0
Steals
8.6 / 9.4
12.0 / 12.0
Turnovers
17.6 / 15.9
19.0 / 16.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
CHI
Advantage
31-51-0
(37.8%)
Margin: -5.2
ATS +/-: -1.9
WSH
17-65-0
(20.7%)
Margin: -12.0
ATS +/-: -1.4
🎯 ATS (Spread)
CHI
Advantage
39-43-0
(47.6%)
Margin: -5.2
ATS +/-: -1.9
WSH
33-49-0
(40.2%)
Margin: -12.0
ATS +/-: -1.4
⚖️ Over/Under
CHI
38-44-0
O: 46.3% / U: 53.7%
Total +/-: +0.5
WSH
47-35-0
O: 57.3% / U: 42.7%
Total +/-: +3.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
WSH
CHI
WSH
CHI
ML
70%
112-49
56%
54-42
47%
39-44
57%
46-35
ATS
69%
111-49-1
65%
62-33-1
47%
39-44
57%
46-35
TTL
74%
119-41-1
58%
56-40
100%
83-0
100%
81-0
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