DETROIT
TIGERSDET
4-8 | Road
1
MINNESOTA
TWINSMIN
6-6 | Home
3
Probable Pitchers
STARTING PITCHER
Tyler Holton
#87 | Relief Pitcher@
STARTING PITCHER
Luke Keaschall
#15 | Second Base| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Holton | None-None | 0.00 | -- | 1.1 | 2 |
| Luke Keaschall | None-None | -- | -- | -- | -- |
None-None
W-L
None-None
0.00
ERA
--
--
WHIP
--
1.1
IP (Innings Pitched)
--
2
K (Strikeouts)
--
AI Model Win Probability
TIGERS
100%
TWINS
0%
TIGERS
--
TWINS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
7.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
MINNESOTA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (Minnesota)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+12+8+40-4-8-12
Distribution centered around MIN -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (MIN)
DET By 1-2 runs
16.3%
DET By 3-4 runs
10.6%
MIN By 1-2 runs
19.6%
MIN By 3-4 runs
16.3%
AI Model Projected Score
Detroit
3
DETROIT
Minnesota
4
MINNESOTA
Simulated Score
Detroit
3
DETROIT
Minnesota
5
MINNESOTA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Twins
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Twins
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Twins (+1.5)
Win
Proj Runs: -1.0
D
Sim
Twins (+1.5)
Win
Proj Runs: -2.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u8.0
Win
Proj Total: 7.0
D
Sim
u8.0
Win
Proj Total: 8.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Sep 9, 2026
MIN @ DET
2 - 7
Sep 8, 2026
MIN @ DET
3 - 2
Sep 7, 2026
MIN @ DET
4 - 5
Sep 2, 2026
DET @ MIN
11 - 6
Sep 1, 2026
DET @ MIN
2 - 15
Season Statistics Comparison
Detroit
DET
vs
Minnesota
MIN
162
Games Played
162
4.46
Runs / Game
▲
4.56
.241
Avg (AVG)
▲
.245
.320
▲
On-Base (OBP)
.317
.400
Slugging (SLG)
▲
.403
.720
OPS
.720
181
Home Runs
▲
187
Key Model Drivers
Strikeouts (L5)
+16.7% more
Minnesota: 8.5
vs
Detroit: 7.3
Errors (L5)
+16.0% more
Minnesota: 0.8
vs
Detroit: 0.6
Home Runs (Season)
+3.3% more
Minnesota: 187.0
vs
Detroit: 181.0
Runs per Game (Season)
+2.2% more
Minnesota: 4.6
vs
Detroit: 4.5
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
DET Score
3.0
1
MIN Score
4.0
3
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors
0.8 / 0.6
0.0 / 0.0
Hits
8.8 / 9.0
9.0 / 5.0
Home Runs
0.4 / 0.4
1.0 / 0.0
Strikeouts
8.5 / 7.3
9.0 / 9.0
Total Bases
12.0 / 13.0
12.0 / 7.0
Walks
3.6 / 4.8
3.0 / 5.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
DET
76-86-0
(46.9%)
Margin: 0.4
ATS +/-:
MIN
Advantage
77-85-0
(47.5%)
Margin: -0.4
ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
DET
(51.8%)
Margin: 0.4
ATS +/-:
MIN
(51.8%)
Margin: -0.4
ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
DET
70-84-8
O: 45.5% / U: 54.6%
Total +/-: +0.3
MIN
88-64-10
O: 57.9% / U: 42.1%
Total +/-: +1.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
MIN
DET
MIN
DET
ML
52%
84-78
54%
86-73
50%
80-81
54%
87-73
ATS
59%
95-67
64%
101-58
59%
95-66
57%
91-69
TTL
51%
78-75-9
46%
69-81-9
53%
80-72-9
46%
69-81-10
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