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SAN JOSE

SHARKSSJ

37-33-7  |  Road

1
FINAL
Thu, Apr 9 • 10:00 PM ET
Honda Center
View Odds Details →

ANAHEIM

DUCKSANA

41-32-5  |  Home

6
Goaltending
Yaroslav Askarov
GOALTENDER

Yaroslav Askarov

#30 | Goaltender
@
Lukas Dostal
GOALTENDER

Lukas Dostal

#1 | Goaltender
Player W-L-OTL GAA SV% SO
Yaroslav Askarov None-None 6.00 0.800 --
Lukas Dostal None-None 1.00 0.947 --
None-None W-L-OTL None-None
6.00 GAA Ldr 1.00
0.800 Save % Ldr 0.947
-- SO --
AI Model Win Probability
SHARKS
100%
📊
DUCKS
0%
SHARKS --
DUCKS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
5.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
ANAHEIM
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (Anaheim)
SharksSJ (-3.5) 0 DucksANA (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Sharks Cover

30.9%

Ducks Cover

69.1%

+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around ANA -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (ANA)

SJ By 1 goal

12.1%

SJ By 2-3 goals

9.3%

ANA By 1 goal

19.7%

ANA By 2-3 goals

29.6%

AI Model Projected Score
2
SAN JOSE
3
ANAHEIM
Simulated Score
2
SAN JOSE
3
ANAHEIM
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Ducks Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Ducks Win
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI Ducks (+1.5) Win
Proj Goals: -1.0
D
Sim Ducks (+0) Win
Proj Goals: -1.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u6.5 Loss
Proj Total: 5.0
D
Sim u6.5 Win
Proj Total: 5.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Apr 9, 2026 SJ @ ANA 1 - 6
Apr 1, 2026 ANA @ SJ 3 - 4
Dec 29, 2025 SJ @ ANA 5 - 4
Oct 11, 2025 ANA @ SJ 7 - 6
Oct 1, 2025 ANA @ SJ 5 - 2
Key Model Drivers
Power Play % (L5) +29.0%
Anaheim: 72.0% vs San Jose: 43.0%
Shots on Goal (L5) +21.2% more
Anaheim: 28.0 vs San Jose: 23.1
Faceoff % (L5) +6.5%
Anaheim: 47.4% vs San Jose: 40.9%
Blocked Shots (L5) +20.4% more
San Jose: 18.8 vs Anaheim: 15.0
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
SJ Score 2.0 1
ANA Score 3.0 6
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
32%TICKETS68%
54%MONEY46%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
69%TICKETS31%
17%MONEY83%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
79%TICKETS21%
82%MONEY18%
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
ANA
SJ
ANA
SJ
ML
33% 1-2
33% 1-2
67% 2-1
0% 0-3
ATS
33% 1-2
33% 1-2
33% 1-2
33% 1-2
TTL
33% 1-2
33% 1-2
0% 0-3
33% 1-2
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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