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PITTSBURGH

PENGUINSPIT

40-22-16  |  Road

5
FINAL
Thu, Apr 9 • 7:00 PM ET
Prudential Center
View Odds Details →

NEW JERSEY

DEVILSNJ

40-35-3  |  Home

2
Goaltending
Kris Letang
GOALTENDER

Kris Letang

#58 | Defense
@
Jake Allen
GOALTENDER

Jake Allen

#34 | Goaltender
Player W-L-OTL GAA SV% SO
Kris Letang None-None -- -- --
Jake Allen None-None 4.05 0.862 --
None-None W-L-OTL None-None
-- GAA 4.05
-- Save % 0.862
-- SO --
AI Model Win Probability
PENGUINS
0%
📊
DEVILS
100%
PENGUINS --
DEVILS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
7.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-3.0
PITTSBURGH
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +3.0 points (Pittsburgh)
PenguinsPIT (-3.5) 0 DevilsNJ (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Penguins Cover

93.3%

Devils Cover

6.7%

-6-4-20+2+4+6
Distribution centered around PIT -3.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (PIT)

PIT By 1 goal

12.1%

PIT By 2-3 goals

37.2%

NJ By 1 goal

2.8%

NJ By 2-3 goals

1.2%

AI Model Projected Score
5
PITTSBURGH
2
NEW JERSEY
Simulated Score
2
PITTSBURGH
4
NEW JERSEY
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Penguins Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Devils Loss
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI Penguins (+1.5) Win
Proj Goals: -3.0
D
Sim Devils (+0) Loss
Proj Goals: -2.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o6.5 Win
Proj Total: 7.0
D
Sim u6.5 Win
Proj Total: 6.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Apr 9, 2026 PIT @ NJ 5 - 2
Feb 26, 2026 NJ @ PIT 1 - 4
Jan 8, 2026 NJ @ PIT 1 - 4
Nov 8, 2025 PIT @ NJ 1 - 2
Apr 11, 2025 PIT @ NJ 4 - 2
Key Model Drivers
Blocked Shots (L5) +17.1% more
Pittsburgh: 11.1 vs New Jersey: 9.2
Power Play % (L5) +2.1%
Pittsburgh: 2.5% vs New Jersey: 0.4%
Hits (L5) +36.8% more
New Jersey: 17.9 vs Pittsburgh: 13.1
Takeaways (L5) +10.5% more
New Jersey: 5.4 vs Pittsburgh: 4.9
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
PIT Score 5.0 5
NJ Score 2.0 2
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
70%TICKETS30%
68%MONEY32%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
43%TICKETS57%
86%MONEY14%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
68%TICKETS32%
95%MONEY5%
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
NJ
PIT
NJ
PIT
ML
33% 1-2
75% 3-1
67% 2-1
25% 1-3
ATS
0% 0-3
75% 3-1
33% 1-2
75% 3-1
TTL
0% 0-2-1
25% 1-3
50% 1-1-1
50% 2-2
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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