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FLORIDA

PANTHERSFLA

37-37-4  |  Road

1
FINAL
Thu, Apr 9 • 7:00 PM ET
Canadian Tire Centre
View Odds Details →

OTTAWA

SENATORSOTT

41-27-10  |  Home

5
Goaltending
Brady Tkachuk
GOALTENDER

Brady Tkachuk

#8 | Left Wing
@
Linus Ullmark
GOALTENDER

Linus Ullmark

#35 | Goaltender
Player W-L-OTL GAA SV% SO
Brady Tkachuk None-None -- -- --
Linus Ullmark None-None 1.00 0.957 --
None-None W-L-OTL None-None
-- GAA 1.00
-- Save % 0.957
-- SO --
AI Model Win Probability
PANTHERS
0%
📊
SENATORS
100%
PANTHERS --
SENATORS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
5.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+1.0
OTTAWA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
PanthersFLA (-3.5) 0 SenatorsOTT (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Panthers Cover

30.9%

Senators Cover

69.1%

-6-4-20+2+4+6
Distribution centered around OTT +1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (OTT)

FLA By 1 goal

19.7%

FLA By 2-3 goals

29.6%

OTT By 1 goal

12.1%

OTT By 2-3 goals

9.3%

AI Model Projected Score
3
FLORIDA
2
OTTAWA
Simulated Score
2
FLORIDA
4
OTTAWA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Panthers Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Senators Win
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI Senators (+1.5) Win
Proj Goals: +1.0
D
Sim Senators (+0) Win
Proj Goals: -2.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u6.5 Win
Proj Total: 5.0
D
Sim u6.5 Win
Proj Total: 6.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Apr 9, 2026 FLA @ OTT 1 - 5
Mar 31, 2026 OTT @ FLA 3 - 6
Jan 10, 2026 FLA @ OTT 3 - 2
Oct 11, 2025 OTT @ FLA 2 - 6
Apr 5, 2025 FLA @ OTT 0 - 3
Key Model Drivers
Power Play % (L5) +61.5%
Ottawa: 63.5% vs Florida: 2.0%
Blocked Shots (L5) +34.6% more
Ottawa: 12.3 vs Florida: 9.1
Faceoff % (L5) +1.8%
Ottawa: 58.7% vs Florida: 56.9%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
FLA Score 3.0 1
OTT Score 2.0 5
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
13%TICKETS87%
13%MONEY87%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
37%TICKETS63%
33%MONEY67%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
50%TICKETS50%
63%MONEY37%
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
OTT
FLA
OTT
FLA
ML
0% 0-3
0% 0-4
67% 2-1
0% 0-4
ATS
0% 0-3
25% 1-3
67% 2-1
50% 2-2
TTL
67% 2-1
25% 1-3
67% 2-1
0% 0-4
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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