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COLUMBUS

BLUE JACKETSCBJ

39-27-12  |  Road

0
FINAL
Thu, Apr 9 • 7:00 PM ET
KeyBank Center
View Odds Details →

BUFFALO

SABRESBUF

48-23-8  |  Home

5
Goaltending
Jet Greaves
GOALTENDER

Jet Greaves

#73 | Goaltender
@
Colten Ellis
GOALTENDER

Colten Ellis

#92 | Goaltender
Player W-L-OTL GAA SV% SO
Jet Greaves None-None 4.15 0.826 --
Colten Ellis None-None 0.00 1.000 1
None-None W-L-OTL None-None
4.15 GAA Ldr 0.00
0.826 Save % Ldr 1.000
-- SO Ldr 1
AI Model Win Probability
BLUE JACKETS
0%
📊
SABRES
100%
BLUE JACKETS --
SABRES --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
7.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+1.0
BUFFALO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
Blue JacketsCBJ (-3.5) 0 SabresBUF (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Blue Jackets Cover

30.9%

Sabres Cover

69.1%

-6-4-20+2+4+6
Distribution centered around BUF +1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (BUF)

CBJ By 1 goal

19.7%

CBJ By 2-3 goals

29.6%

BUF By 1 goal

12.1%

BUF By 2-3 goals

9.3%

AI Model Projected Score
4
COLUMBUS
3
BUFFALO
Simulated Score
3
COLUMBUS
4
BUFFALO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Blue Jackets Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Sabres Win
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI Sabres (+1.5) Win
Proj Goals: +1.0
D
Sim Sabres (+0) Win
Proj Goals: -1.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o6.5 Loss
Proj Total: 7.0
D
Sim u6.5 Win
Proj Total: 7.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Oct 1, 2026 BUF @ CBJ 3 - 6
Apr 9, 2026 CBJ @ BUF 0 - 5
Jan 3, 2026 BUF @ CBJ 1 - 5
Oct 28, 2025 CBJ @ BUF 4 - 3
Sep 23, 2025 CBJ @ BUF 1 - 2
Key Model Drivers
Takeaways (L5) +15.8% more
Columbus: 5.3 vs Buffalo: 4.5
Faceoff % (L5) +7.2%
Columbus: 55.4% vs Buffalo: 48.1%
Shots on Goal (L5) +13.8% more
Buffalo: 27.2 vs Columbus: 23.9
Power Play % (L5) +12.2%
Buffalo: 26.3% vs Columbus: 14.2%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
CBJ Score 4.0 0
BUF Score 3.0 5
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
27%TICKETS73%
44%MONEY56%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
56%TICKETS44%
47%MONEY53%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
44%TICKETS56%
44%MONEY56%
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
BUF
CBJ
BUF
CBJ
ML
67% 2-1
50% 1-1
67% 2-1
100% 2-0
ATS
33% 1-2
50% 1-1
100% 3-0
50% 1-1
TTL
33% 1-2
50% 1-1
33% 1-2
0% 0-2
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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