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OKLAHOMA CITY

THUNDEROKC

63-16  |  Road

128
FINAL
Wed, Apr 8 • 10:00 PM ET
Intuit Dome
View Odds Details →

LA

CLIPPERSLAC

41-38  |  Home

110
AI Model Win Probability
THUNDER
0%
📊
CLIPPERS
100%
THUNDER --
CLIPPERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
223.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-21.0
OKLAHOMA CITY
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +21.0 points (Oklahoma City)
ThunderOKC (-3.5) 0 ClippersLAC (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Thunder Cover

98.2%

Clippers Cover

1.8%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around OKC -21.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (OKC)

OKC By 1-7 points

6.8%

OKC By 8-14 points

16.9%

LAC By 1-7 points

1.4%

LAC By 8-14 points

0.2%

AI Model Projected Score
122
OKLAHOMA CITY
101
LA
Simulated Score
110
OKLAHOMA CITY
122
LA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Thunder Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Clippers Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Thunder (+7.5) Win
Proj Spread: -21.0
D
Sim Clippers (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -12.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u225.5 Loss
Proj Total: 223.0
D
Sim u225.5 Win
Proj Total: 232.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Apr 8, 2026 OKC @ LAC 128 - 110
Dec 18, 2025 LAC @ OKC 101 - 122
Nov 4, 2025 OKC @ LAC 126 - 107
Mar 23, 2025 OKC @ LAC 103 - 101
Jan 2, 2025 LAC @ OKC 98 - 116
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5) +19.0% more
Oklahoma City: 29.8 vs LA: 24.1
Steals (L5) +14.3% more
Oklahoma City: 11.2 vs LA: 9.6
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +7.4%
Oklahoma City: 45.2% vs LA: 37.9%
Free Throw % (L5) +4.2%
Oklahoma City: 84.2% vs LA: 80.0%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
OKC Score 122.0 128
LAC Score 101.0 110
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 37.9 / 45.2 44.0 / 38.0
Assists 24.1 / 29.8 27.0 / 30.0
Blocks 5.7 / 4.7 3.0 / 7.0
Field Goal % 48.4 / 52.3 47.0 / 58.0
Free Throw % 80.0 / 84.2 67.0 / 79.0
Rebounding 43.7 / 46.1 36.0 / 44.0
Steals 9.6 / 11.2 9.0 / 9.0
Turnovers 13.9 / 13.3 13.0 / 13.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
88%TICKETS12%
85%MONEY15%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
67%TICKETS33%
74%MONEY26%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
76%TICKETS24%
74%MONEY26%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
OKC Advantage
75-22-0 (77.3%)
Margin: 10.5 ATS +/-: +0.4
LAC
42-41-0 (50.6%)
Margin: 1.1 ATS +/-: -0.4
🎯 ATS (Spread)
OKC
47-50-0 (48.4%)
Margin: 10.5 ATS +/-: +0.4
LAC Advantage
42-41-0 (50.6%)
Margin: 1.1 ATS +/-: -0.4
⚖️ Over/Under
OKC
54-43-0
O: 55.7% / U: 44.3% Total +/-: +0.8
LAC
41-42-0
O: 49.4% / U: 50.6% Total +/-: +2.2
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
LAC
OKC
LAC
OKC
ML
60% 59-40
70% 80-34
55% 45-37
48% 46-49
ATS
66% 65-33-1
73% 83-30-1
55% 45-37
48% 46-49
TTL
59% 58-40-1
67% 76-38
100% 82-0
100% 95-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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