Home / MLB Projections MLB / Braves @ Angels ATL @ LAA

ATLANTA

BRAVESATL

7-5  |  Road

8
FINAL
Wed, Apr 8 • 4:07 PM ET
Angel Stadium
View Odds Details →

LOS ANGELES

ANGELSLAA

6-6  |  Home

2
Probable Pitchers
Brent Suter
STARTING PITCHER

Brent Suter

#39 | Relief Pitcher
@
Sam Bachman
STARTING PITCHER

Sam Bachman

#40 | Relief Pitcher
Player W-L ERA WHIP IP K
Brent Suter None-None 2.89 -- 2.0 2
Sam Bachman None-None 1.35 -- 1.0 1
None-None W-L None-None
2.89 ERA Ldr 1.35
-- WHIP --
2.0 Ldr IP (Innings Pitched) 1.0
2 Ldr K (Strikeouts) 1
AI Model Win Probability
BRAVES
0%
📊
ANGELS
100%
BRAVES --
ANGELS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
5.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+1.0
LOS ANGELES
Book Spread
--
Book Line
BravesATL (-3.5) 0 AngelsLAA (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Braves Cover

40.1%

Angels Cover

59.9%

-12-8-40+4+8+12
Distribution centered around LAA +1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (LAA)

ATL By 1-2 runs

19.6%

ATL By 3-4 runs

16.3%

LAA By 1-2 runs

16.3%

LAA By 3-4 runs

10.6%

AI Model Projected Score
3
ATLANTA
2
LOS ANGELES
Simulated Score
4
ATLANTA
6
LOS ANGELES
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Braves Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Angels Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI Angels (+1.5) Win
Proj Runs: +1.0
D
Sim Angels (+1.5) Loss
Proj Runs: -2.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u8.5 Loss
Proj Total: 5.0
D
Sim o8.5 Win
Proj Total: 10.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Apr 8, 2026 ATL @ LAA 8 - 2
Apr 7, 2026 ATL @ LAA 7 - 2
Apr 6, 2026 ATL @ LAA 2 - 6
Jul 3, 2025 LAA @ ATL 5 - 1
Jul 2, 2025 LAA @ ATL 3 - 8
Season Statistics Comparison
Atlanta ATL
vs
Los Angeles LAA
1
Games Played
▲ 162
5.00 ▲
Runs / Game
4.04
.233
Avg (AVG)
▲ .234
.324 ▲
On-Base (OBP)
.310
.433 ▲
Slugging (SLG)
.369
.757 ▲
OPS
.679
1
Home Runs
▲ 154
Key Model Drivers
Errors (L5) +63.0% more
Atlanta: 0.8 vs Los Angeles: 0.2
Hits (L5) +30.2% more
Atlanta: 8.9 vs Los Angeles: 6.2
Total Bases (L5) +29.2% more
Atlanta: 14.5 vs Los Angeles: 10.2
Home Runs (L5) +24.8% more
Atlanta: 1.3 vs Los Angeles: 1.0
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
ATL Score 3.0 8
LAA Score 2.0 2
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors 0.2 / 0.8 1.0 / 0.0
Hits 6.2 / 8.9 7.0 / 8.0
Home Runs 1.0 / 1.3 1.0 / 1.0
Strikeouts 11.2 / 9.8 9.0 / 10.0
Total Bases 10.2 / 14.5 11.0 / 16.0
Walks 3.8 / 2.6 6.0 / 3.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
76%TICKETS24%
67%MONEY33%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
53%TICKETS47%
85%MONEY15%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
55%TICKETS45%
93%MONEY7%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
ATL Advantage
97-72-0 (57.4%)
Margin: 0.7 ATS +/-:
LAA
62-100-0 (38.3%)
Margin: -0.6 ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
ATL Advantage
(52.1%)
Margin: 0.7 ATS +/-:
LAA
(50.6%)
Margin: -0.6 ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
ATL
76-83-10
O: 47.8% / U: 52.2% Total +/-: 0.0
LAA
71-88-3
O: 44.7% / U: 55.4% Total +/-: +0.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
LAA
ATL
LAA
ATL
ML
59% 96-66
46% 77-90
55% 89-73
54% 90-78
ATS
60% 97-65
57% 96-71
51% 82-80
52% 87-81
TTL
53% 83-74-5
53% 83-73-11
52% 82-75-5
49% 76-80-11
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
Contextual Game News
Yankees and Braves Urged to Cut Ties with Underperforming Stars …
si 41 minutes ago
Jeimer Candelario Opts for Free Agency After Brief Angels Stint
si 52 minutes ago
Brewers vs. Dodgers NLCS Tickets: Prices, Schedule, and How to A…
sportingnews 6 hours, 41 minutes ago
Dodgers Outlast Braves in NLDS Game 4, Inch Closer to Three-Peat
hawaiitribune_herald 12 hours, 48 minutes ago
Dodgers Embrace 'Dinosaur' Label While Trolling Padres After NLD…
headtopics 18 hours, 52 minutes ago