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EDMONTON

OILERSEDM

39-29-10  |  Road

5
FINAL
Wed, Apr 8 • 10:00 PM ET
SAP Center at San Jose
View Odds Details →

SAN JOSE

SHARKSSJ

37-32-7  |  Home

2
Goaltending
Tristan Jarry
GOALTENDER

Tristan Jarry

#35 | Goaltender
@
Alex Nedeljkovic
GOALTENDER

Alex Nedeljkovic

#33 | Goaltender
Player W-L-OTL GAA SV% SO
Tristan Jarry None-None 0.00 1.000 --
Alex Nedeljkovic None-None 5.01 0.808 --
None-None W-L-OTL None-None
0.00 Ldr GAA 5.01
1.000 Ldr Save % 0.808
-- SO --
AI Model Win Probability
OILERS
0%
📊
SHARKS
100%
OILERS --
SHARKS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
6.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-2.0
EDMONTON
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +2.0 points (Edmonton)
OilersEDM (-3.5) 0 SharksSJ (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Oilers Cover

84.1%

Sharks Cover

15.9%

-6-4-20+2+4+6
Distribution centered around EDM -2.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (EDM)

EDM By 1 goal

17.5%

EDM By 2-3 goals

37.2%

SJ By 1 goal

6.6%

SJ By 2-3 goals

3.7%

AI Model Projected Score
4
EDMONTON
2
SAN JOSE
Simulated Score
2
EDMONTON
5
SAN JOSE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Oilers Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Sharks Loss
50% Win Prob
B
Puck Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI Oilers (+1.5) Win
Proj Goals: -2.0
D
Sim Sharks (+0) Loss
Proj Goals: -3.0
B
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u6.5 Loss
Proj Total: 6.0
D
Sim u6.5 Win
Proj Total: 7.0
B
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Apr 8, 2026 EDM @ SJ 5 - 2
Mar 17, 2026 SJ @ EDM 3 - 5
Feb 28, 2026 EDM @ SJ 4 - 5
Jan 29, 2026 SJ @ EDM 3 - 4
Apr 16, 2025 EDM @ SJ 3 - 0
Key Model Drivers
Power Play % (L5) +24.3%
Edmonton: 24.7% vs San Jose: 0.4%
Shots on Goal (L5) +24.2% more
Edmonton: 30.5 vs San Jose: 23.1
Faceoff % (L5) +16.6%
Edmonton: 57.4% vs San Jose: 40.9%
Blocked Shots (L5) +105.9% more
San Jose: 18.8 vs Edmonton: 9.2
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
EDM Score 4.0 5
SJ Score 2.0 2
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
66%TICKETS34%
22%MONEY78%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
53%TICKETS47%
41%MONEY59%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
78%TICKETS22%
86%MONEY14%
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
SJ
EDM
SJ
EDM
ML
33% 1-2
75% 3-1
0% 0-3
50% 2-2
ATS
33% 1-2
75% 3-1
33% 1-2
25% 1-3
TTL
33% 1-2
25% 1-3
33% 1-2
25% 1-3
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
Contextual Game News
Penguins Embarrassed by Capitals as Turnovers and Disorganizatio…
yahoo 20 hours, 11 minutes ago
Penguins Trade Hallander to Oilers for Defenseman Stastney
observer_reporter 1 day, 1 hour ago
Sharks Stunned: Celebrini Sidelined by Lower-Body Injury Moments…
yahoo 2 days, 19 hours ago
Sharks' Celebrini Sidelined with Lower-Body Injury in Loss to St…
yahoo 2 days, 20 hours ago
NHL Analyst Drops Bombshell: Connor McDavid Will Leave Oilers Du…
newsweek 3 days, 7 hours ago