Home / NHL Projections NHL / Sabres @ Rangers BUF @ NYR

BUFFALO

SABRESBUF

47-23-8  |  Road

5
FINAL
Wed, Apr 8 • 7:00 PM ET
Madison Square Garden
View Odds Details →

NEW YORK

RANGERSNYR

33-36-9  |  Home

3
Goaltending
Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
GOALTENDER

Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen

#1 | Goaltender
@
Igor Shesterkin
GOALTENDER

Igor Shesterkin

#31 | Goaltender
Player W-L-OTL GAA SV% SO
Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen None-None 3.00 0.850 --
Igor Shesterkin None-None 4.11 0.846 --
None-None W-L-OTL None-None
3.00 Ldr GAA 4.11
0.850 Ldr Save % 0.846
-- SO --
AI Model Win Probability
SABRES
0%
📊
RANGERS
100%
SABRES --
RANGERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
4.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-2.0
BUFFALO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +2.0 points (Buffalo)
SabresBUF (-3.5) 0 RangersNYR (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Sabres Cover

84.1%

Rangers Cover

15.9%

-6-4-20+2+4+6
Distribution centered around BUF -2.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (BUF)

BUF By 1 goal

17.5%

BUF By 2-3 goals

37.2%

NYR By 1 goal

6.6%

NYR By 2-3 goals

3.7%

AI Model Projected Score
3
BUFFALO
1
NEW YORK
Simulated Score
3
BUFFALO
2
NEW YORK
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Sabres Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Sabres Win
50% Win Prob
B
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI Sabres (+1.5) Win
Proj Goals: -2.0
D
Sim Sabres (-0) Win
Proj Goals: -1.0
B
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u6.5 Loss
Proj Total: 4.0
D
Sim u6.5 Win
Proj Total: 5.0
B
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Apr 8, 2026 BUF @ NYR 5 - 3
Jan 8, 2026 BUF @ NYR 5 - 2
Oct 9, 2025 NYR @ BUF 4 - 0
Feb 22, 2025 NYR @ BUF 2 - 8
Dec 11, 2024 NYR @ BUF 3 - 2
Key Model Drivers
Shots on Goal (L5) +19.6% more
Buffalo: 27.2 vs New York: 21.9
Takeaways (L5) +26.0% more
New York: 4.7 vs Buffalo: 3.7
Power Play % (L5) +22.2%
New York: 48.5% vs Buffalo: 26.3%
Hits (L5) +15.8% more
New York: 25.0 vs Buffalo: 21.6
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
BUF Score 3.0 5
NYR Score 1.0 3
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
77%TICKETS23%
74%MONEY26%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
67%TICKETS33%
80%MONEY20%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
48%TICKETS52%
57%MONEY43%
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
NYR
BUF
NYR
BUF
ML
80% 4-1
67% 2-1
40% 2-3
67% 2-1
ATS
80% 4-1
33% 1-2
60% 3-2
100% 3-0
TTL
60% 3-2
33% 1-2
60% 3-2
33% 1-2
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
Contextual Game News
Islanders Shuffle Defense Pairings in Wake of Romanov's ACL Tear
si 6 hours, 8 minutes ago
Islanders' Blue Line Shake-Up: Three Defenders Who Must Elevate …
si 12 hours, 7 minutes ago
Islanders Lock Up Czech Blueliner Vladimir Dravecky with Three-Y…
si 1 day, 6 hours ago
Rangers' Shesterkin and Fox Shine in ESPN Top 100 Despite Rankin…
si 1 day, 12 hours ago
Islanders Defy Doubters with Four Stars on ESPN Top 100 List
si 1 day, 12 hours ago