CHICAGO
BULLSCHI
29-49 | Road
129
WASHINGTON
WIZARDSWSH
17-61 | Home
98
AI Model Win Probability
BULLS
100%
WIZARDS
0%
BULLS
--
WIZARDS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
235.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-9.0
WASHINGTON
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +9.0 points (Washington)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around WSH -9.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (WSH)
CHI By 1-7 points
12.2%
CHI By 8-14 points
4.0%
WSH By 1-7 points
24.3%
WSH By 8-14 points
26.8%
AI Model Projected Score
Chicago
113
CHICAGO
Washington
122
WASHINGTON
Simulated Score
Chicago
109
CHICAGO
Washington
118
WASHINGTON
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Wizards
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Wizards
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Wizards (+6.5)
Loss
Proj Spread: -9.0
D
Sim
Wizards (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -9.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u250.5
Win
Proj Total: 235.0
D
Sim
u250.5
Win
Proj Total: 227.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Apr 9, 2026
CHI @ WSH
119 - 108
Apr 7, 2026
CHI @ WSH
129 - 98
Nov 22, 2025
WSH @ CHI
120 - 121
Apr 11, 2025
WSH @ CHI
89 - 119
Jan 10, 2025
WSH @ CHI
105 - 138
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5)
+24.4% more
Washington: 8.9
vs
Chicago: 7.1
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+6.4%
Washington: 36.4%
vs
Chicago: 30.0%
Field Goal % (L5)
+4.7%
Washington: 50.3%
vs
Chicago: 45.6%
Free Throw % (L5)
+2.8%
Washington: 74.7%
vs
Chicago: 71.9%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
CHI Score
113.0
129
WSH Score
122.0
98
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
36.4 / 30.0
29.0 / 33.0
Assists
24.7 / 25.2
22.0 / 35.0
Blocks
3.4 / 3.7
7.0 / 7.0
Field Goal %
50.3 / 45.6
43.0 / 49.0
Free Throw %
74.7 / 71.9
62.0 / 81.0
Rebounding
39.3 / 43.2
46.0 / 52.0
Steals
8.9 / 7.1
8.0 / 14.0
Turnovers
15.4 / 17.4
22.0 / 13.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
CHI
Advantage
31-51-0
(37.8%)
Margin: -5.2
ATS +/-: -1.9
WSH
17-65-0
(20.7%)
Margin: -12.0
ATS +/-: -1.4
🎯 ATS (Spread)
CHI
Advantage
39-43-0
(47.6%)
Margin: -5.2
ATS +/-: -1.9
WSH
33-49-0
(40.2%)
Margin: -12.0
ATS +/-: -1.4
⚖️ Over/Under
CHI
38-44-0
O: 46.3% / U: 53.7%
Total +/-: +0.5
WSH
47-35-0
O: 57.3% / U: 42.7%
Total +/-: +3.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
WSH
CHI
WSH
CHI
ML
70%
112-49
56%
54-42
47%
39-44
57%
46-35
ATS
69%
111-49-1
65%
62-33-1
47%
39-44
57%
46-35
TTL
74%
119-41-1
58%
56-40
100%
83-0
100%
81-0
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