SEATTLE
MARINERSSEA
4-7 | Road
2
TEXAS
RANGERSTEX
5-5 | Home
3
Probable Pitchers
STARTING PITCHER
George Kirby
#68 | Starting Pitcher@
STARTING PITCHER
Jakob Junis
#16 | Relief Pitcher| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| George Kirby | None-None | 3.60 | -- | 8.0 | 4 |
| Jakob Junis | None-None | 0.00 | -- | 1.0 | -- |
None-None
W-L
None-None
3.60
ERA
Ldr 0.00
--
WHIP
--
8.0 Ldr
IP (Innings Pitched)
1.0
4 Ldr
K (Strikeouts)
--
AI Model Win Probability
MARINERS
100%
RANGERS
0%
MARINERS
--
RANGERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
7.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
TEXAS
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (Texas)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+12+8+40-4-8-12
Distribution centered around TEX -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (TEX)
SEA By 1-2 runs
16.3%
SEA By 3-4 runs
10.6%
TEX By 1-2 runs
19.6%
TEX By 3-4 runs
16.3%
AI Model Projected Score
Seattle
3
SEATTLE
Texas
4
TEXAS
Simulated Score
Seattle
4
SEATTLE
Texas
6
TEXAS
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Rangers
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Rangers
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Rangers (+1.5)
Win
Proj Runs: -1.0
D
Sim
Rangers (+1.5)
Win
Proj Runs: -2.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u7.5
Win
Proj Total: 7.0
D
Sim
o7.5
Loss
Proj Total: 10.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Sep 10, 2026
TEX @ SEA
3 - 4
Sep 9, 2026
TEX @ SEA
2 - 3
Sep 8, 2026
TEX @ SEA
10 - 5
Jul 27, 2026
SEA @ TEX
3 - 7
Jul 26, 2026
SEA @ TEX
6 - 4
Season Statistics Comparison
Seattle
SEA
vs
Texas
TEX
162
Games Played
162
4.10
Runs / Game
▲
4.15
.233
Avg (AVG)
▲
.242
.314
On-Base (OBP)
▲
.317
.379
Slugging (SLG)
▲
.396
.693
OPS
▲
.713
182
Home Runs
▲
183
Key Model Drivers
Hits (L5)
+37.9% more
Texas: 6.9
vs
Seattle: 5.0
Total Bases (L5)
+34.7% more
Texas: 10.8
vs
Seattle: 8.0
Walks (L5)
+24.6% more
Texas: 2.4
vs
Seattle: 2.0
OPS (Season)
+2.0%
Texas: 71.3%
vs
Seattle: 69.3%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
SEA Score
3.0
2
TEX Score
4.0
3
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors
0.7 / 0.8
0.0 / 1.0
Hits
6.9 / 5.0
6.0 / 8.0
Home Runs
0.5 / 0.7
1.0 / 1.0
Strikeouts
9.0 / 8.5
9.0 / 4.0
Total Bases
10.8 / 8.0
9.0 / 11.0
Walks
2.4 / 2.0
2.0 / 0.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
SEA
76-86-0
(46.9%)
Margin: -0.4
ATS +/-:
TEX
Advantage
80-82-0
(49.4%)
Margin: -0.3
ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
SEA
(37.0%)
Margin: -0.4
ATS +/-:
TEX
Advantage
(48.2%)
Margin: -0.3
ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
SEA
86-68-8
O: 55.8% / U: 44.2%
Total +/-: +0.7
TEX
84-69-9
O: 54.9% / U: 45.1%
Total +/-: +0.6
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
TEX
SEA
TEX
SEA
ML
53%
86-76
50%
81-81
57%
91-70
52%
85-77
ATS
57%
92-70
60%
98-64
61%
98-63
59%
95-67
TTL
53%
78-70-14
56%
85-67-10
55%
81-66-14
53%
81-71-10
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