CHARLOTTE
HORNETSCHA
43-36 | Road
102
BOSTON
CELTICSBOS
53-25 | Home
113
AI Model Win Probability
HORNETS
100%
CELTICS
0%
HORNETS
--
CELTICS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
229.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
BOSTON
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (Boston)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around BOS -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (BOS)
CHA By 1-7 points
24.3%
CHA By 8-14 points
13.7%
BOS By 1-7 points
26.2%
BOS By 8-14 points
16.9%
AI Model Projected Score
Charlotte
114
CHARLOTTE
Boston
115
BOSTON
Simulated Score
Charlotte
101
CHARLOTTE
Boston
122
BOSTON
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Celtics
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Celtics
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Celtics (+4.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -1.0
D
Sim
Celtics (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -21.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o220.5
Loss
Proj Total: 229.0
D
Sim
u220.5
Win
Proj Total: 223.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Apr 7, 2026
CHA @ BOS
102 - 113
Mar 29, 2026
BOS @ CHA
114 - 99
Mar 4, 2026
CHA @ BOS
118 - 89
Apr 13, 2025
CHA @ BOS
86 - 93
Apr 11, 2025
CHA @ BOS
94 - 130
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+19.0% more
Boston: 4.4
vs
Charlotte: 3.7
Field Goal % (L5)
+3.7%
Boston: 52.0%
vs
Charlotte: 48.3%
Free Throw % (L5)
+6.9%
Charlotte: 85.8%
vs
Boston: 78.9%
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+2.0%
Charlotte: 40.3%
vs
Boston: 38.3%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
CHA Score
114.0
102
BOS Score
115.0
113
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
38.3 / 40.3
40.0 / 33.0
Assists
27.1 / 28.5
22.0 / 24.0
Blocks
4.4 / 3.7
2.0 / 3.0
Field Goal %
52.0 / 48.3
49.0 / 43.0
Free Throw %
78.9 / 85.8
83.0 / 77.0
Rebounding
46.3 / 46.5
45.0 / 40.0
Steals
7.2 / 7.1
6.0 / 5.0
Turnovers
13.1 / 13.1
14.0 / 13.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
CHA
45-39-0
(53.6%)
Margin: 4.4
ATS +/-: +4.4
BOS
Advantage
59-30-0
(66.3%)
Margin: 7.3
ATS +/-: +2.2
🎯 ATS (Spread)
CHA
Advantage
50-34-0
(59.5%)
Margin: 4.4
ATS +/-: +4.4
BOS
51-38-0
(57.3%)
Margin: 7.3
ATS +/-: +2.2
⚖️ Over/Under
CHA
32-52-0
O: 38.1% / U: 61.9%
Total +/-: -3.4
BOS
32-57-0
O: 36.0% / U: 64.0%
Total +/-: -3.2
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
BOS
CHA
BOS
CHA
ML
57%
61-46
61%
60-39
53%
47-41
48%
40-44
ATS
59%
61-43-3
60%
59-40
53%
47-41
48%
40-44
TTL
56%
60-47
58%
57-42
100%
88-0
100%
84-0
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