DALLAS
MAVERICKSDAL
25-53 | Road
103
LA
CLIPPERSLAC
40-38 | Home
116
AI Model Win Probability
MAVERICKS
100%
CLIPPERS
0%
MAVERICKS
--
CLIPPERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
226.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-8.0
LA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +8.0 points (LA)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around LAC -8.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (LAC)
DAL By 1-7 points
13.7%
DAL By 8-14 points
4.8%
LAC By 1-7 points
25.3%
LAC By 8-14 points
26.2%
AI Model Projected Score
Dallas
109
DALLAS
LA
117
LA
Simulated Score
Dallas
114
DALLAS
LA
118
LA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Clippers
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Clippers
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Clippers (+12.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -8.0
D
Sim
Clippers (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u236.5
Win
Proj Total: 226.0
D
Sim
u236.5
Win
Proj Total: 232.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Apr 7, 2026
DAL @ LAC
103 - 116
Mar 21, 2026
LAC @ DAL
138 - 131
Nov 29, 2025
DAL @ LAC
114 - 110
Nov 14, 2025
LAC @ DAL
133 - 127
Apr 5, 2025
DAL @ LAC
104 - 135
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5)
+16.8% more
LA: 11.4
vs
Dallas: 9.8
Turnovers (L5)
+14.6% more
LA: 13.3
vs
Dallas: 11.6
Free Throw % (L5)
+7.5%
LA: 84.5%
vs
Dallas: 77.0%
Field Goal % (L5)
+4.4%
LA: 50.1%
vs
Dallas: 45.7%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
DAL Score
109.0
103
LAC Score
117.0
116
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
37.8 / 35.4
38.0 / 18.0
Assists
24.7 / 24.9
23.0 / 18.0
Blocks
4.0 / 4.5
9.0 / 7.0
Field Goal %
50.1 / 45.7
45.0 / 35.0
Free Throw %
84.5 / 77.0
71.0 / 96.0
Rebounding
37.5 / 42.2
56.0 / 54.0
Steals
11.4 / 9.8
6.0 / 9.0
Turnovers
13.3 / 11.6
15.0 / 9.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
DAL
26-56-0
(31.7%)
Margin: -5.5
ATS +/-: -0.8
LAC
Advantage
42-41-0
(50.6%)
Margin: 1.1
ATS +/-: -0.4
🎯 ATS (Spread)
DAL
36-46-0
(43.9%)
Margin: -5.5
ATS +/-: -0.8
LAC
Advantage
42-41-0
(50.6%)
Margin: 1.1
ATS +/-: -0.4
⚖️ Over/Under
DAL
37-45-0
O: 45.1% / U: 54.9%
Total +/-: +1.0
LAC
41-42-0
O: 49.4% / U: 50.6%
Total +/-: +2.2
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
LAC
DAL
LAC
DAL
ML
60%
59-40
62%
63-39
55%
45-37
54%
44-37
ATS
66%
65-33-1
67%
68-34
55%
45-37
54%
44-37
TTL
59%
58-40-1
59%
60-41-1
100%
82-0
100%
81-0
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