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CALGARY

FLAMESCGY

32-36-8  |  Road

3
FINAL
Tue, Apr 7 • 8:00 PM ET
American Airlines Center
View Odds Details →

DALLAS

STARSDAL

45-20-12  |  Home

4
Goaltending
Devin Cooley
GOALTENDER

Devin Cooley

#1 | Goaltender
@
Jake Oettinger
GOALTENDER

Jake Oettinger

#29 | Goaltender
Player W-L-OTL GAA SV% SO
Devin Cooley None-None 3.77 0.840 --
Jake Oettinger None-None 2.83 0.850 --
None-None W-L-OTL None-None
3.77 GAA Ldr 2.83
0.840 Save % Ldr 0.850
-- SO --
AI Model Win Probability
FLAMES
100%
📊
STARS
0%
FLAMES --
STARS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
7.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
DALLAS
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (Dallas)
FlamesCGY (-3.5) 0 StarsDAL (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Flames Cover

30.9%

Stars Cover

69.1%

+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around DAL -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (DAL)

CGY By 1 goal

12.1%

CGY By 2-3 goals

9.3%

DAL By 1 goal

19.7%

DAL By 2-3 goals

29.6%

AI Model Projected Score
3
CALGARY
4
DALLAS
Simulated Score
2
CALGARY
3
DALLAS
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Stars Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Stars Win
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI Stars (+1.5) Win
Proj Goals: -1.0
D
Sim Stars (+0) Win
Proj Goals: -1.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o5.5 Win
Proj Total: 7.0
D
Sim u5.5 Win
Proj Total: 5.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Apr 7, 2026 CGY @ DAL 3 - 4
Mar 3, 2026 DAL @ CGY 6 - 1
Nov 22, 2025 DAL @ CGY 2 - 3
Mar 27, 2025 DAL @ CGY 5 - 2
Mar 6, 2025 CGY @ DAL 2 - 3
Key Model Drivers
Blocked Shots (L5) +22.9% more
Dallas: 16.1 vs Calgary: 13.1
Shots on Goal (L5) +10.3% more
Dallas: 29.9 vs Calgary: 27.1
Hits (L5) +14.7% more
Calgary: 22.0 vs Dallas: 18.8
Takeaways (L5) +12.7% more
Calgary: 3.9 vs Dallas: 3.4
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
CGY Score 3.0 3
DAL Score 4.0 4
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
5%TICKETS95%
5%MONEY95%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
19%TICKETS81%
12%MONEY88%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
86%TICKETS14%
93%MONEY7%
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
DAL
CGY
DAL
CGY
ML
33% 1-2
33% 1-2
33% 1-2
33% 1-2
ATS
0% 0-3
33% 1-2
33% 1-2
33% 1-2
TTL
100% 3-0
67% 2-1
33% 1-2
0% 0-3
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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