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COLORADO

AVALANCHECOL

50-16-10  |  Road

3
FINAL
Tue, Apr 7 • 8:00 PM ET
Enterprise Center
View Odds Details →

ST. LOUIS

BLUESSTL

33-31-12  |  Home

1
Goaltending
Scott Wedgewood
GOALTENDER

Scott Wedgewood

#41 | Goaltender
@
Joel Hofer
GOALTENDER

Joel Hofer

#30 | Goaltender
Player W-L-OTL GAA SV% SO
Scott Wedgewood None-None 1.00 0.947 --
Joel Hofer None-None 3.22 0.919 --
None-None W-L-OTL None-None
1.00 Ldr GAA 3.22
0.947 Ldr Save % 0.919
-- SO --
AI Model Win Probability
AVALANCHE
100%
📊
BLUES
0%
AVALANCHE --
BLUES --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
6.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-4.0
ST. LOUIS
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +4.0 points (St. Louis)
AvalancheCOL (-3.5) 0 BluesSTL (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Avalanche Cover

2.3%

Blues Cover

97.7%

+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around STL -4.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (STL)

COL By 1 goal

0.9%

COL By 2-3 goals

0.3%

STL By 1 goal

6.6%

STL By 2-3 goals

29.6%

AI Model Projected Score
1
COLORADO
5
ST. LOUIS
Simulated Score
2
COLORADO
4
ST. LOUIS
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Blues Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Blues Loss
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI Blues (+1.5) Loss
Proj Goals: -4.0
D
Sim Blues (+0) Loss
Proj Goals: -2.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u6.5 Win
Proj Total: 6.0
D
Sim u6.5 Win
Proj Total: 6.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Oct 3, 2026 STL @ COL 1 - 6
Apr 7, 2026 COL @ STL 3 - 1
Dec 31, 2025 STL @ COL 1 - 6
Apr 5, 2025 COL @ STL 4 - 5
Mar 29, 2025 STL @ COL 2 - 1
Key Model Drivers
Blocked Shots (L5) +36.0% more
Colorado: 9.8 vs St. Louis: 6.3
Faceoff % (L5) +18.8%
Colorado: 53.4% vs St. Louis: 34.7%
Takeaways (L5) +18.2% more
Colorado: 5.3 vs St. Louis: 4.4
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
COL Score 1.0 3
STL Score 5.0 1
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
84%TICKETS16%
74%MONEY26%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
64%TICKETS36%
94%MONEY6%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
40%TICKETS60%
47%MONEY53%
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
STL
COL
STL
COL
ML
33% 1-2
67% 2-1
67% 2-1
67% 2-1
ATS
67% 2-1
67% 2-1
33% 1-2
33% 1-2
TTL
50% 1-1-1
33% 1-2
50% 1-1-1
67% 2-1
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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