CLEVELAND
CAVALIERSCLE
49-29 | Road
142
MEMPHIS
GRIZZLIESMEM
25-53 | Home
126
AI Model Win Probability
CAVALIERS
0%
GRIZZLIES
100%
CAVALIERS
--
GRIZZLIES
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
233.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+13.0
MEMPHIS
Book Spread
--
Book Line
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around MEM +13.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (MEM)
CLE By 1-7 points
18.6%
CLE By 8-14 points
26.8%
MEM By 1-7 points
6.8%
MEM By 8-14 points
1.7%
AI Model Projected Score
Cleveland
123
CLEVELAND
Memphis
110
MEMPHIS
Simulated Score
Cleveland
103
CLEVELAND
Memphis
110
MEMPHIS
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Cavaliers
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Grizzlies
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Grizzlies (+13.5)
Win
Proj Spread: +13.0
D
Sim
Grizzlies (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -7.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o231.5
Win
Proj Total: 233.0
D
Sim
u231.5
Win
Proj Total: 213.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Apr 6, 2026
CLE @ MEM
142 - 126
Nov 15, 2025
MEM @ CLE
100 - 108
Mar 14, 2025
CLE @ MEM
133 - 124
Feb 23, 2025
MEM @ CLE
123 - 129
Apr 10, 2024
MEM @ CLE
98 - 110
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+26.5% more
Cleveland: 3.7
vs
Memphis: 2.7
Rebounding (L5)
+21.8% more
Cleveland: 44.2
vs
Memphis: 34.6
Assists (L5)
+16.5% more
Cleveland: 27.9
vs
Memphis: 23.3
Field Goal % (L5)
+5.6%
Cleveland: 49.4%
vs
Memphis: 43.9%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
CLE Score
123.0
142
MEM Score
110.0
126
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
34.9 / 35.5
49.0 / 38.0
Assists
23.3 / 27.9
32.0 / 36.0
Blocks
2.7 / 3.7
4.0 / 5.0
Field Goal %
43.9 / 49.4
48.0 / 58.0
Free Throw %
77.7 / 76.8
70.0 / 70.0
Rebounding
34.6 / 44.2
31.0 / 48.0
Steals
10.0 / 7.2
7.0 / 12.0
Turnovers
16.2 / 12.2
13.0 / 13.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
CLE
Advantage
60-40-0
(60.0%)
Margin: 2.8
ATS +/-: -2.4
MEM
25-57-0
(30.5%)
Margin: -6.0
ATS +/-: -0.6
🎯 ATS (Spread)
CLE
40-60-0
(40.0%)
Margin: 2.8
ATS +/-: -2.4
MEM
Advantage
37-45-0
(45.1%)
Margin: -6.0
ATS +/-: -0.6
⚖️ Over/Under
CLE
52-48-0
O: 52.0% / U: 48.0%
Total +/-: +0.9
MEM
43-39-0
O: 52.4% / U: 47.6%
Total +/-: +1.4
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
MEM
CLE
MEM
CLE
ML
57%
59-44
60%
69-46
50%
41-41
56%
55-44
ATS
63%
65-38
67%
75-37-3
50%
41-41
56%
55-44
TTL
70%
71-31-1
59%
68-47
100%
82-0
100%
99-0
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