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ATLANTA

BRAVESATL

6-4  |  Road

2
FINAL
Mon, Apr 6 • 9:38 PM ET
Angel Stadium
View Odds Details →

LOS ANGELES

ANGELSLAA

5-5  |  Home

6
Probable Pitchers
Chris Sale
STARTING PITCHER

Chris Sale

#51 | Starting Pitcher
@
Oswald Peraza
STARTING PITCHER

Oswald Peraza

#2 | Second Base
Player W-L ERA WHIP IP K
Chris Sale None-None 3.94 -- 4.0 7
Oswald Peraza None-None -- -- -- --
None-None W-L None-None
3.94 ERA --
-- WHIP --
4.0 IP (Innings Pitched) --
7 K (Strikeouts) --
AI Model Win Probability
BRAVES
0%
📊
ANGELS
100%
BRAVES --
ANGELS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
5.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+1.0
LOS ANGELES
Book Spread
--
Book Line
BravesATL (-3.5) 0 AngelsLAA (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Braves Cover

40.1%

Angels Cover

59.9%

-12-8-40+4+8+12
Distribution centered around LAA +1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (LAA)

ATL By 1-2 runs

19.6%

ATL By 3-4 runs

16.3%

LAA By 1-2 runs

16.3%

LAA By 3-4 runs

10.6%

AI Model Projected Score
3
ATLANTA
2
LOS ANGELES
Simulated Score
4
ATLANTA
5
LOS ANGELES
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Braves Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Angels Win
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI Angels (+1.5) Win
Proj Runs: +1.0
D
Sim Angels (+1.5) Win
Proj Runs: -1.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u7.5 Loss
Proj Total: 5.0
D
Sim o7.5 Win
Proj Total: 9.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Apr 8, 2026 ATL @ LAA 8 - 2
Apr 7, 2026 ATL @ LAA 7 - 2
Apr 6, 2026 ATL @ LAA 2 - 6
Jul 3, 2025 LAA @ ATL 5 - 1
Jul 2, 2025 LAA @ ATL 3 - 8
Season Statistics Comparison
Atlanta ATL
vs
Los Angeles LAA
1
Games Played
▲ 162
5.00 ▲
Runs / Game
4.04
.233
Avg (AVG)
▲ .234
.324 ▲
On-Base (OBP)
.310
.433 ▲
Slugging (SLG)
.369
.757 ▲
OPS
.679
1
Home Runs
▲ 154
Key Model Drivers
Home Runs (L5) +62.6% more
Atlanta: 1.2 vs Los Angeles: 0.4
Total Bases (L5) +26.1% more
Atlanta: 13.6 vs Los Angeles: 10.0
Runs per Game (Season) +19.2% more
Atlanta: 5.0 vs Los Angeles: 4.0
Hits (L5) +17.9% more
Atlanta: 8.5 vs Los Angeles: 7.0
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
ATL Score 3.0 2
LAA Score 2.0 6
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors 0.4 / 0.3 0.0 / 0.0
Hits 7.0 / 8.5 5.0 / 5.0
Home Runs 0.4 / 1.2 2.0 / 2.0
Strikeouts 10.8 / 6.5 11.0 / 10.0
Total Bases 10.0 / 13.6 11.0 / 11.0
Walks 5.8 / 1.9 1.0 / 2.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
88%TICKETS12%
79%MONEY21%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
71%TICKETS29%
83%MONEY17%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
45%TICKETS55%
23%MONEY77%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
ATL Advantage
97-72-0 (57.4%)
Margin: 0.7 ATS +/-:
LAA
62-100-0 (38.3%)
Margin: -0.6 ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
ATL Advantage
(52.1%)
Margin: 0.7 ATS +/-:
LAA
(50.6%)
Margin: -0.6 ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
ATL
76-83-10
O: 47.8% / U: 52.2% Total +/-: 0.0
LAA
71-88-3
O: 44.7% / U: 55.4% Total +/-: +0.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
LAA
ATL
LAA
ATL
ML
59% 96-66
46% 77-90
55% 89-73
54% 90-78
ATS
60% 97-65
57% 96-71
51% 82-80
52% 87-81
TTL
53% 83-74-5
53% 83-73-11
52% 82-75-5
49% 76-80-11
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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