Home / MLB Projections MLB / Tigers @ Twins DET @ MIN

DETROIT

TIGERSDET

4-5  |  Road

3
FINAL
Mon, Apr 6 • 7:40 PM ET
Target Field
View Odds Details →

MINNESOTA

TWINSMIN

3-6  |  Home

7
Probable Pitchers
Drew Anderson
STARTING PITCHER

Drew Anderson

#38 | Relief Pitcher
@
Kody Funderburk
STARTING PITCHER

Kody Funderburk

#57 | Relief Pitcher
Player W-L ERA WHIP IP K
Drew Anderson None-None 7.11 -- 3.0 4
Kody Funderburk None-None 3.60 -- 0.2 --
None-None W-L None-None
7.11 ERA Ldr 3.60
-- WHIP --
3.0 Ldr IP (Innings Pitched) 0.2
4 Ldr K (Strikeouts) --
AI Model Win Probability
TIGERS
100%
📊
TWINS
0%
TIGERS --
TWINS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
7.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
MINNESOTA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (Minnesota)
TigersDET (-3.5) 0 TwinsMIN (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Tigers Cover

40.1%

Twins Cover

59.9%

+12+8+40-4-8-12
Distribution centered around MIN -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (MIN)

DET By 1-2 runs

16.3%

DET By 3-4 runs

10.6%

MIN By 1-2 runs

19.6%

MIN By 3-4 runs

16.3%

AI Model Projected Score
3
DETROIT
4
MINNESOTA
Simulated Score
3
DETROIT
5
MINNESOTA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Twins Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Twins Win
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI Twins (+1.5) Win
Proj Runs: -1.0
D
Sim Twins (+1.5) Win
Proj Runs: -2.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u7.0 Loss
Proj Total: 7.0
D
Sim o7.0 Win
Proj Total: 8.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Sep 9, 2026 MIN @ DET 2 - 7
Sep 8, 2026 MIN @ DET 3 - 2
Sep 7, 2026 MIN @ DET 4 - 5
Sep 2, 2026 DET @ MIN 11 - 6
Sep 1, 2026 DET @ MIN 2 - 15
Season Statistics Comparison
Detroit DET
vs
Minnesota MIN
162
Games Played
162
4.46
Runs / Game
▲ 4.56
.241
Avg (AVG)
▲ .245
.320 ▲
On-Base (OBP)
.317
.400
Slugging (SLG)
▲ .403
.720
OPS
.720
181
Home Runs
▲ 187
Key Model Drivers
Walks (L5) +9.4% more
Minnesota: 4.2 vs Detroit: 3.8
Home Runs (Season) +3.3% more
Minnesota: 187.0 vs Detroit: 181.0
Runs per Game (Season) +2.2% more
Minnesota: 4.6 vs Detroit: 4.5
Batting Avg (Season) +0.4%
Minnesota: 24.5% vs Detroit: 24.1%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
DET Score 3.0 3
MIN Score 4.0 7
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors 0.4 / 0.8 2.0 / 1.0
Hits 4.9 / 8.2 10.0 / 4.0
Home Runs 1.0 / 1.4 1.0 / 0.0
Strikeouts 6.1 / 7.7 11.0 / 10.0
Total Bases 8.7 / 14.4 15.0 / 7.0
Walks 4.2 / 3.8 7.0 / 7.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
64%TICKETS36%
75%MONEY25%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
63%TICKETS37%
63%MONEY37%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
68%TICKETS32%
50%MONEY50%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
DET
76-86-0 (46.9%)
Margin: 0.4 ATS +/-:
MIN Advantage
77-85-0 (47.5%)
Margin: -0.4 ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
DET
(51.8%)
Margin: 0.4 ATS +/-:
MIN
(51.8%)
Margin: -0.4 ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
DET
70-84-8
O: 45.5% / U: 54.6% Total +/-: +0.3
MIN
88-64-10
O: 57.9% / U: 42.1% Total +/-: +1.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
MIN
DET
MIN
DET
ML
52% 84-78
54% 86-73
50% 80-81
54% 87-73
ATS
59% 95-67
64% 101-58
59% 95-66
57% 91-69
TTL
51% 78-75-9
46% 69-81-9
53% 80-72-9
46% 69-81-10
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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