NEW YORK
KNICKSNY
50-28 | Road
108
ATLANTA
HAWKSATL
45-33 | Home
105
AI Model Win Probability
KNICKS
100%
HAWKS
0%
KNICKS
--
HAWKS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
212.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-2.0
ATLANTA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +2.0 points (Atlanta)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around ATL -2.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (ATL)
NY By 1-7 points
23.0%
NY By 8-14 points
12.2%
ATL By 1-7 points
26.8%
ATL By 8-14 points
18.6%
AI Model Projected Score
New York
105
NEW YORK
Atlanta
107
ATLANTA
Simulated Score
New York
108
NEW YORK
Atlanta
112
ATLANTA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Hawks
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Hawks
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Hawks (-1.5)
Loss
Proj Spread: -2.0
D
Sim
Hawks (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u226.5
Win
Proj Total: 212.0
D
Sim
u226.5
Win
Proj Total: 220.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Apr 30, 2026
NY @ ATL
140 - 89
Apr 28, 2026
ATL @ NY
97 - 126
Apr 25, 2026
NY @ ATL
114 - 98
Apr 23, 2026
NY @ ATL
108 - 109
Apr 20, 2026
ATL @ NY
107 - 106
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+78.2% more
Atlanta: 6.3
vs
New York: 3.5
Steals (L5)
+27.6% more
Atlanta: 10.5
vs
New York: 8.2
Assists (L5)
+8.6% more
Atlanta: 31.1
vs
New York: 28.7
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+4.9%
Atlanta: 43.0%
vs
New York: 38.1%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
NY Score
105.0
108
ATL Score
107.0
105
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
43.0 / 38.1
38.0 / 33.0
Assists
31.1 / 28.7
23.0 / 29.0
Blocks
6.3 / 3.5
4.0 / 7.0
Field Goal %
51.5 / 50.6
40.0 / 50.0
Free Throw %
77.8 / 85.1
76.0 / 76.0
Rebounding
44.1 / 46.7
48.0 / 47.0
Steals
10.5 / 8.2
7.0 / 9.0
Turnovers
13.4 / 13.2
15.0 / 17.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
NY
Advantage
70-32-0
(68.6%)
Margin: 8.0
ATS +/-: +3.5
ATL
48-40-0
(54.6%)
Margin: 1.1
ATS +/-: +0.3
🎯 ATS (Spread)
NY
Advantage
58-44-0
(56.9%)
Margin: 8.0
ATS +/-: +3.5
ATL
46-42-0
(52.3%)
Margin: 1.1
ATS +/-: +0.3
⚖️ Over/Under
NY
47-55-0
O: 46.1% / U: 53.9%
Total +/-: -1.4
ATL
44-44-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0%
Total +/-: +0.1
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
ATL
NY
ATL
NY
ML
50%
52-52
61%
114-72
55%
48-40
56%
57-45
ATS
53%
55-48-1
67%
124-62
55%
48-40
56%
57-45
TTL
53%
55-48-1
72%
133-53
100%
88-0
100%
102-0
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