PHILADELPHIA
76ERSPHI
43-35 | Road
102
SAN ANTONIO
SPURSSA
59-19 | Home
115
AI Model Win Probability
76ERS
100%
SPURS
0%
76ERS
--
SPURS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
244.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-2.0
SAN ANTONIO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +2.0 points (San Antonio)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around SA -2.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (SA)
PHI By 1-7 points
23.0%
PHI By 8-14 points
12.2%
SA By 1-7 points
26.8%
SA By 8-14 points
18.6%
AI Model Projected Score
Philadelphia
121
PHILADELPHIA
San Antonio
123
SAN ANTONIO
Simulated Score
Philadelphia
108
PHILADELPHIA
San Antonio
122
SAN ANTONIO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Spurs
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Spurs
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Spurs (+8.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -2.0
D
Sim
Spurs (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -14.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o237.5
Loss
Proj Total: 244.0
D
Sim
u237.5
Win
Proj Total: 230.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Apr 6, 2026
PHI @ SA
102 - 115
Mar 3, 2026
SA @ PHI
131 - 91
Mar 21, 2025
PHI @ SA
120 - 128
Dec 23, 2024
SA @ PHI
106 - 111
Apr 7, 2024
PHI @ SA
133 - 126
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5)
+25.0% more
San Antonio: 31.1
vs
Philadelphia: 24.9
Rebounding (L5)
+19.0% more
San Antonio: 49.8
vs
Philadelphia: 41.8
Free Throw % (L5)
+2.7%
San Antonio: 84.5%
vs
Philadelphia: 81.8%
Blocks (L5)
+10.5% more
Philadelphia: 5.4
vs
San Antonio: 4.9
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
PHI Score
121.0
102
SA Score
123.0
115
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
35.8 / 35.4
34.0 / 31.0
Assists
31.1 / 24.9
31.0 / 17.0
Blocks
4.9 / 5.4
5.0 / 5.0
Field Goal %
49.7 / 48.8
49.0 / 38.0
Free Throw %
84.5 / 81.8
73.0 / 83.0
Rebounding
49.8 / 41.8
47.0 / 48.0
Steals
6.9 / 7.4
8.0 / 7.0
Turnovers
13.1 / 13.4
11.0 / 12.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
PHI
50-44-0
(53.2%)
Margin: -1.2
ATS +/-: -0.8
SA
Advantage
75-31-0
(70.8%)
Margin: 8.0
ATS +/-: +3.2
🎯 ATS (Spread)
PHI
50-44-0
(53.2%)
Margin: -1.2
ATS +/-: -0.8
SA
Advantage
60-44-2
(57.7%)
Margin: 8.0
ATS +/-: +3.2
⚖️ Over/Under
PHI
44-50-0
O: 46.8% / U: 53.2%
Total +/-: +1.4
SA
49-57-0
O: 46.2% / U: 53.8%
Total +/-: -1.1
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
SA
PHI
SA
PHI
ML
60%
111-73
63%
69-40
58%
61-44
48%
45-48
ATS
58%
107-76-1
65%
71-38
58%
61-44
48%
45-48
TTL
74%
134-47-3
55%
60-49
100%
105-0
100%
93-0
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