Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Sooners @ Mountaineers OU @ WVU

OKLAHOMA

SOONERSOU

21-15  |  Road

82
FINAL
Sun, Apr 5 • 5:30 PM ET
T-Mobile Arena
View Odds Details →

WEST VIRGINIA

MOUNTAINEERSWVU

20-14  |  Home

89
AI Model Win Probability
SOONERS
0%
📊
MOUNTAINEERS
100%
SOONERS --
MOUNTAINEERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
154.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-8.0
OKLAHOMA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +8.0 points (Oklahoma)
SoonersOU (-3.5) 0 MountaineersWVU (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Sooners Cover

78.8%

Mountaineers Cover

21.2%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around OU -8.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (OU)

OU By 1-7 points

25.3%

OU By 8-14 points

26.2%

WVU By 1-7 points

13.7%

WVU By 8-14 points

4.8%

AI Model Projected Score
81
OKLAHOMA
73
WEST VIRGINIA
Simulated Score
70
OKLAHOMA
78
WEST VIRGINIA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Sooners Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Mountaineers Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Sooners (+3.5) Loss
Proj Spread: -8.0
D
Sim Mountaineers (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -8.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o139.5 Win
Proj Total: 154.0
D
Sim u139.5 Win
Proj Total: 148.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Apr 5, 2026 OU @ WVU 82 - 89
Jan 17, 2024 WVU @ OU 63 - 77
Feb 4, 2023 OU @ WVU 61 - 93
Jan 14, 2023 WVU @ OU 76 - 77
Mar 1, 2022 WVU @ OU 59 - 72
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5) +29.7% more
Oklahoma: 16.5 vs West Virginia: 11.6
Blocks (L5) +23.3% more
Oklahoma: 4.7 vs West Virginia: 3.6
Free Throw % (L5) +19.5%
Oklahoma: 83.1% vs West Virginia: 63.6%
Steals (L5) +15.5% more
Oklahoma: 6.9 vs West Virginia: 5.8
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
OU Score 81.0 82
WVU Score 73.0 89
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 28.3 / 33.1 45.0 / 40.0
Assists 11.6 / 16.5 17.0 / 17.0
Blocks 3.6 / 4.7 7.0 / 3.0
Field Goal % 46.1 / 46.5 47.0 / 53.0
Free Throw % 63.6 / 83.1 78.0 / 83.0
Rebounding 35.7 / 35.6 32.0 / 31.0
Steals 5.8 / 6.9 7.0 / 6.0
Turnovers 8.9 / 8.5 11.0 / 14.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
81%TICKETS19%
85%MONEY15%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
64%TICKETS36%
67%MONEY33%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
84%TICKETS16%
86%MONEY14%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
OU
21-16-0 (56.8%)
Margin: 5.5 ATS +/-: +0.9
WVU Advantage
21-14-0 (60.0%)
Margin: 4.9 ATS +/-: +0.2
🎯 ATS (Spread)
OU
17-19-1 (47.2%)
Margin: 5.5 ATS +/-: +0.9
WVU Advantage
18-17-0 (51.4%)
Margin: 4.9 ATS +/-: +0.2
⚖️ Over/Under
OU
19-18-0
O: 51.3% / U: 48.7% Total +/-: +1.8
WVU
13-21-1
O: 38.2% / U: 61.8% Total +/-: -1.6
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
WVU
OU
WVU
OU
ML
63% 22-13
78% 28-8
76% 26-8
59% 20-14
ATS
60% 21-14
72% 26-10
76% 26-8
59% 20-14
TTL
40% 14-21
75% 27-9
100% 34-0
100% 34-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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