WASHINGTON
WIZARDSWSH
17-60 | Road
115
BROOKLYN
NETSBKN
18-59 | Home
121
AI Model Win Probability
WIZARDS
100%
NETS
0%
WIZARDS
--
NETS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
222.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-4.0
BROOKLYN
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +4.0 points (Brooklyn)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around BKN -4.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (BKN)
WSH By 1-7 points
20.1%
WSH By 8-14 points
9.3%
BKN By 1-7 points
27.4%
BKN By 8-14 points
21.6%
AI Model Projected Score
Washington
109
WASHINGTON
Brooklyn
113
BROOKLYN
Simulated Score
Washington
110
WASHINGTON
Brooklyn
115
BROOKLYN
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Nets
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Nets
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Nets (-3)
Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Sim
Nets (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u231.0
Loss
Proj Total: 222.0
D
Sim
u231.0
Win
Proj Total: 225.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Apr 5, 2026
WSH @ BKN
115 - 121
Feb 7, 2026
WSH @ BKN
113 - 127
Jan 2, 2026
BKN @ WSH
99 - 119
Nov 16, 2025
BKN @ WSH
129 - 106
Mar 29, 2025
BKN @ WSH
115 - 112
Key Model Drivers
Turnovers (L5)
+48.7% more
Brooklyn: 17.2
vs
Washington: 11.6
Steals (L5)
+10.8% more
Brooklyn: 9.8
vs
Washington: 8.8
Blocks (L5)
+8.8% more
Brooklyn: 3.9
vs
Washington: 3.6
Assists (L5)
+15.9% more
Washington: 27.0
vs
Brooklyn: 22.7
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
WSH Score
109.0
115
BKN Score
113.0
121
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
34.2 / 36.5
38.0 / 36.0
Assists
22.7 / 27.0
29.0 / 20.0
Blocks
3.9 / 3.6
9.0 / 3.0
Field Goal %
45.0 / 47.4
49.0 / 56.0
Free Throw %
80.3 / 80.0
87.0 / 64.0
Rebounding
33.7 / 38.4
35.0 / 41.0
Steals
9.8 / 8.8
11.0 / 9.0
Turnovers
17.2 / 11.6
11.0 / 23.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
WSH
17-65-0
(20.7%)
Margin: -12.0
ATS +/-: -1.4
BKN
Advantage
20-62-0
(24.4%)
Margin: -10.0
ATS +/-: -1.3
🎯 ATS (Spread)
WSH
33-49-0
(40.2%)
Margin: -12.0
ATS +/-: -1.4
BKN
Advantage
38-43-1
(46.9%)
Margin: -10.0
ATS +/-: -1.3
⚖️ Over/Under
WSH
47-35-0
O: 57.3% / U: 42.7%
Total +/-: +3.3
BKN
37-45-0
O: 45.1% / U: 54.9%
Total +/-: -0.7
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
BKN
WSH
BKN
WSH
ML
53%
50-45
70%
112-49
59%
48-34
47%
39-44
ATS
52%
48-44-3
69%
111-49-1
59%
48-34
47%
39-44
TTL
57%
54-41
74%
119-41-1
100%
82-0
100%
83-0
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