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CAROLINA

HURRICANESCAR

49-21-6  |  Road

3
FINAL
Sun, Apr 5 • 5:00 PM ET
Canadian Tire Centre
View Odds Details →

OTTAWA

SENATORSOTT

39-27-10  |  Home

6
Goaltending
Sean Walker
GOALTENDER

Sean Walker

#26 | Defense
@
Linus Ullmark
GOALTENDER

Linus Ullmark

#35 | Goaltender
Player W-L-OTL GAA SV% SO
Sean Walker None-None -- -- --
Linus Ullmark None-None 3.00 0.893 --
None-None W-L-OTL None-None
-- GAA 3.00
-- Save % 0.893
-- SO --
AI Model Win Probability
HURRICANES
0%
📊
SENATORS
100%
HURRICANES --
SENATORS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
5.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-3.0
CAROLINA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +3.0 points (Carolina)
HurricanesCAR (-3.5) 0 SenatorsOTT (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Hurricanes Cover

93.3%

Senators Cover

6.7%

-6-4-20+2+4+6
Distribution centered around CAR -3.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CAR)

CAR By 1 goal

12.1%

CAR By 2-3 goals

37.2%

OTT By 1 goal

2.8%

OTT By 2-3 goals

1.2%

AI Model Projected Score
4
CAROLINA
1
OTTAWA
Simulated Score
2
CAROLINA
4
OTTAWA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Hurricanes Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Senators Win
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI Hurricanes (+1.5) Loss
Proj Goals: -3.0
D
Sim Senators (+0) Win
Proj Goals: -2.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u6.5 Loss
Proj Total: 5.0
D
Sim u6.5 Win
Proj Total: 6.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Apr 25, 2026 CAR @ OTT 4 - 2
Apr 23, 2026 CAR @ OTT 2 - 1
Apr 20, 2026 OTT @ CAR 2 - 3
Apr 18, 2026 OTT @ CAR 0 - 2
Apr 5, 2026 CAR @ OTT 3 - 6
Key Model Drivers
Shots on Goal (L5) +22.5% more
Carolina: 31.3 vs Ottawa: 24.3
Power Play % (L5) +43.0%
Ottawa: 63.5% vs Carolina: 20.5%
Hits (L5) +13.4% more
Ottawa: 23.1 vs Carolina: 20.4
Blocked Shots (L5) +12.4% more
Ottawa: 12.3 vs Carolina: 10.9
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
CAR Score 4.0 3
OTT Score 1.0 6
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
74%TICKETS26%
46%MONEY54%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
48%TICKETS52%
63%MONEY37%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
40%TICKETS60%
62%MONEY38%
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
OTT
CAR
OTT
CAR
ML
25% 1-3
80% 4-1
50% 2-2
40% 2-3
ATS
25% 1-3
60% 3-2
75% 3-1
80% 4-1
TTL
50% 2-2
0% 0-5
50% 2-2
20% 1-4
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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