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NEW JERSEY

DEVILSNJ

39-34-3  |  Road

3
FINAL
Sun, Apr 5 • 7:00 PM ET
Bell Centre
View Odds Details →

MONTREAL

CANADIENSMTL

45-21-10  |  Home

0
Goaltending
Jonas Siegenthaler
GOALTENDER

Jonas Siegenthaler

#71 | Defense
@
Jacob Fowler
GOALTENDER

Jacob Fowler

#32 | G
Player W-L-OTL GAA SV% SO
Jonas Siegenthaler None-None -- -- --
Jacob Fowler None-None 2.09 0.895 --
None-None W-L-OTL None-None
-- GAA 2.09
-- Save % 0.895
-- SO --
AI Model Win Probability
DEVILS
100%
📊
CANADIENS
0%
DEVILS --
CANADIENS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
7.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
MONTREAL
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (Montreal)
DevilsNJ (-3.5) 0 CanadiensMTL (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Devils Cover

30.9%

Canadiens Cover

69.1%

+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around MTL -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (MTL)

NJ By 1 goal

12.1%

NJ By 2-3 goals

9.3%

MTL By 1 goal

19.7%

MTL By 2-3 goals

29.6%

AI Model Projected Score
3
NEW JERSEY
4
MONTREAL
Simulated Score
2
NEW JERSEY
4
MONTREAL
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Canadiens Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Canadiens Loss
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI Canadiens (+1.5) Loss
Proj Goals: -1.0
D
Sim Canadiens (+0) Loss
Proj Goals: -2.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o6.5 Loss
Proj Total: 7.0
D
Sim u6.5 Win
Proj Total: 6.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Apr 5, 2026 NJ @ MTL 3 - 0
Apr 4, 2026 MTL @ NJ 4 - 3
Nov 6, 2025 MTL @ NJ 3 - 4
Feb 8, 2025 NJ @ MTL 4 - 0
Jan 25, 2025 NJ @ MTL 4 - 3
Key Model Drivers
Blocked Shots (L5) +113.0% more
Montreal: 19.6 vs New Jersey: 9.2
Takeaways (L5) +32.5% more
Montreal: 4.5 vs New Jersey: 3.4
Hits (L5) +15.3% more
Montreal: 20.1 vs New Jersey: 17.5
Faceoff % (L5) +5.1%
Montreal: 52.9% vs New Jersey: 47.7%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
NJ Score 3.0 3
MTL Score 4.0 0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
19%TICKETS81%
29%MONEY71%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
50%TICKETS50%
31%MONEY69%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
50%TICKETS50%
94%MONEY6%
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
MTL
NJ
MTL
NJ
ML
67% 2-1
33% 1-2
33% 1-2
67% 2-1
ATS
67% 2-1
0% 0-3
100% 3-0
33% 1-2
TTL
33% 1-2
0% 0-2-1
67% 2-1
50% 1-1-1
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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