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MINNESOTA

WILDMIN

43-21-12  |  Road

5
FINAL
Sun, Apr 5 • 1:00 PM ET
Little Caesars Arena
View Odds Details →

DETROIT

RED WINGSDET

40-28-8  |  Home

4
Goaltending
Filip Gustavsson
GOALTENDER

Filip Gustavsson

#32 | Goaltender
@
Moritz Seider
GOALTENDER

Moritz Seider

#53 | Defense
Player W-L-OTL GAA SV% SO
Filip Gustavsson None-None 4.00 0.833 --
Moritz Seider None-None -- -- --
None-None W-L-OTL None-None
4.00 GAA --
0.833 Save % --
-- SO --
AI Model Win Probability
WILD
0%
📊
RED WINGS
100%
WILD --
RED WINGS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
4.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-2.0
MINNESOTA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +2.0 points (Minnesota)
WildMIN (-3.5) 0 Red WingsDET (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Wild Cover

84.1%

Red Wings Cover

15.9%

-6-4-20+2+4+6
Distribution centered around MIN -2.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (MIN)

MIN By 1 goal

17.5%

MIN By 2-3 goals

37.2%

DET By 1 goal

6.6%

DET By 2-3 goals

3.7%

AI Model Projected Score
3
MINNESOTA
1
DETROIT
Simulated Score
2
MINNESOTA
4
DETROIT
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Wild Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Red Wings Loss
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI Wild (+1.5) Win
Proj Goals: -2.0
D
Sim Red Wings (+0) Loss
Proj Goals: -2.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u6.5 Loss
Proj Total: 4.0
D
Sim u6.5 Win
Proj Total: 6.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Apr 5, 2026 MIN @ DET 5 - 4
Jan 22, 2026 DET @ MIN 3 - 4
Feb 25, 2025 DET @ MIN 3 - 2
Feb 22, 2025 MIN @ DET 4 - 3
Dec 27, 2023 DET @ MIN 3 - 6
Key Model Drivers
Shots on Goal (L5) +33.3% more
Minnesota: 37.7 vs Detroit: 25.1
Hits (L5) +14.5% more
Minnesota: 23.0 vs Detroit: 19.7
Faceoff % (L5) +6.2%
Minnesota: 47.2% vs Detroit: 41.0%
Power Play % (L5) +22.2%
Detroit: 24.3% vs Minnesota: 2.2%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
MIN Score 3.0 5
DET Score 1.0 4
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
66%TICKETS34%
54%MONEY46%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
41%TICKETS59%
80%MONEY20%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
59%TICKETS41%
74%MONEY26%
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
DET
MIN
DET
MIN
ML
67% 2-1
75% 3-1
33% 1-2
50% 2-2
ATS
33% 1-2
25% 1-3
67% 2-1
50% 2-2
TTL
0% 0-3
100% 4-0
33% 1-2
75% 3-1
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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