WASHINGTON
CAPITALSWSH
39-29-9 | Road
1
NEW YORK
RANGERSNYR
32-36-9 | Home
8
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Charlie Lindgren
#79 | Goaltender@
GOALTENDER
Igor Shesterkin
#31 | Goaltender| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charlie Lindgren | None-None | 8.00 | 0.758 | -- |
| Igor Shesterkin | None-None | 1.00 | 0.952 | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
8.00
GAA
Ldr 1.00
0.758
Save %
Ldr 0.952
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
CAPITALS
0%
RANGERS
100%
CAPITALS
--
RANGERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
4.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-2.0
WASHINGTON
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +2.0 points (Washington)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-6-4-20+2+4+6
Distribution centered around WSH -2.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (WSH)
WSH By 1 goal
17.5%
WSH By 2-3 goals
37.2%
NYR By 1 goal
6.6%
NYR By 2-3 goals
3.7%
AI Model Projected Score
Washington
3
WASHINGTON
New York
1
NEW YORK
Simulated Score
Washington
2
WASHINGTON
New York
3
NEW YORK
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Capitals
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Rangers
Win
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Capitals (+1.5)
Loss
Proj Goals: -2.0
D
Sim
Rangers (+0)
Win
Proj Goals: -1.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u6.5
Loss
Proj Total: 4.0
D
Sim
u6.5
Win
Proj Total: 5.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Apr 5, 2026
WSH @ NYR
1 - 8
Dec 31, 2025
NYR @ WSH
3 - 6
Dec 23, 2025
NYR @ WSH
7 - 3
Oct 12, 2025
WSH @ NYR
1 - 0
Mar 5, 2025
WSH @ NYR
3 - 2
Key Model Drivers
Takeaways (L5)
+33.2% more
Washington: 6.8
vs
New York: 4.6
Blocked Shots (L5)
+27.5% more
Washington: 16.7
vs
New York: 12.1
Shots on Goal (L5)
+24.4% more
Washington: 29.0
vs
New York: 21.9
Hits (L5)
+45.8% more
New York: 26.1
vs
Washington: 17.9
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
WSH Score
3.0
1
NYR Score
1.0
8
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
NYR
WSH
NYR
WSH
ML
80%
4-1
100%
3-0
40%
2-3
67%
2-1
ATS
80%
4-1
100%
3-0
60%
3-2
67%
2-1
TTL
60%
3-2
33%
1-2
60%
3-2
33%
1-2
Contextual Game News
Islanders Shuffle Defense Pairings in Wake of Romanov's ACL Tear
Islanders' Blue Line Shake-Up: Three Defenders Who Must Elevate …
Ovechkin's Sons Steal the Show at Capitals' Home Opener as Washi…
Ovechkin's Sons Steal the Show as Capitals Clip Penguins 5-3 in …
Penguins Embarrassed by Capitals as Turnovers and Disorganizatio…