Home / NBA Projections NBA / Clippers @ Kings LAC @ SAC

LA

CLIPPERSLAC

39-38  |  Road

138
FINAL
Sun, Apr 5 • 9:00 PM ET
Golden 1 Center
View Odds Details →

SACRAMENTO

KINGSSAC

21-57  |  Home

109
AI Model Win Probability
CLIPPERS
0%
📊
KINGS
100%
CLIPPERS --
KINGS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
215.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+3.0
SACRAMENTO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
ClippersLAC (-3.5) 0 KingsSAC (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Clippers Cover

38.2%

Kings Cover

61.8%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around SAC +3.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (SAC)

LAC By 1-7 points

27.2%

LAC By 8-14 points

20.1%

SAC By 1-7 points

21.6%

SAC By 8-14 points

10.7%

AI Model Projected Score
109
LA
106
SACRAMENTO
Simulated Score
114
LA
118
SACRAMENTO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Clippers Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Kings Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Kings (+13.5) Win
Proj Spread: +3.0
D
Sim Kings (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u228.5 Loss
Proj Total: 215.0
D
Sim u228.5 Win
Proj Total: 232.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Apr 5, 2026 LAC @ SAC 138 - 109
Mar 14, 2026 SAC @ LAC 118 - 109
Feb 6, 2026 LAC @ SAC 114 - 111
Dec 30, 2025 SAC @ LAC 90 - 131
Oct 15, 2025 LAC @ SAC 109 - 91
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5) +30.3% more
LA: 9.6 vs Sacramento: 6.7
Blocks (L5) +29.3% more
LA: 5.6 vs Sacramento: 3.9
Assists (L5) +19.8% more
Sacramento: 26.5 vs LA: 22.1
Rebounding (L5) +17.6% more
Sacramento: 44.4 vs LA: 37.8
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
LAC Score 109.0 138
SAC Score 106.0 109
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 34.2 / 32.2 28.0 / 49.0
Assists 26.5 / 22.1 25.0 / 30.0
Blocks 3.9 / 5.6 8.0 / 1.0
Field Goal % 47.9 / 48.7 53.0 / 53.0
Free Throw % 78.7 / 79.2 50.0 / 95.0
Rebounding 44.4 / 37.8 42.0 / 37.0
Steals 6.7 / 9.6 9.0 / 15.0
Turnovers 14.4 / 12.4 20.0 / 15.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
91%TICKETS9%
56%MONEY44%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
63%TICKETS37%
81%MONEY19%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
63%TICKETS37%
39%MONEY61%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
LAC Advantage
42-41-0 (50.6%)
Margin: 1.1 ATS +/-: -0.4
SAC
22-60-0 (26.8%)
Margin: -10.0 ATS +/-: -2.1
🎯 ATS (Spread)
LAC Advantage
42-41-0 (50.6%)
Margin: 1.1 ATS +/-: -0.4
SAC
36-46-0 (43.9%)
Margin: -10.0 ATS +/-: -2.1
⚖️ Over/Under
LAC
41-42-0
O: 49.4% / U: 50.6% Total +/-: +2.2
SAC
43-39-0
O: 52.4% / U: 47.6% Total +/-: +0.8
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
SAC
LAC
SAC
LAC
ML
55% 55-45
60% 59-40
61% 50-32
55% 45-37
ATS
54% 52-45-3
66% 65-33-1
61% 50-32
55% 45-37
TTL
58% 57-42-1
59% 58-40-1
100% 82-0
100% 82-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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