CHARLOTTE
HORNETSCHA
42-36 | Road
122
MINNESOTA
TIMBERWOLVESMIN
46-31 | Home
108
AI Model Win Probability
HORNETS
0%
TIMBERWOLVES
100%
HORNETS
--
TIMBERWOLVES
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
220.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+4.0
MINNESOTA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around MIN +4.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (MIN)
CHA By 1-7 points
27.4%
CHA By 8-14 points
21.6%
MIN By 1-7 points
20.1%
MIN By 8-14 points
9.3%
AI Model Projected Score
Charlotte
112
CHARLOTTE
Minnesota
108
MINNESOTA
Simulated Score
Charlotte
118
CHARLOTTE
Minnesota
115
MINNESOTA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Hornets
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Hornets
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Timberwolves (+4.5)
Win
Proj Spread: +4.0
D
Sim
Hornets (-0)
Win
Proj Spread: -3.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u226.5
Loss
Proj Total: 220.0
D
Sim
u226.5
Win
Proj Total: 233.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Apr 5, 2026
CHA @ MIN
122 - 108
Nov 1, 2025
MIN @ CHA
122 - 105
Mar 5, 2025
MIN @ CHA
125 - 110
Nov 4, 2024
CHA @ MIN
93 - 114
Jan 22, 2024
CHA @ MIN
128 - 125
Key Model Drivers
Free Throw % (L5)
+14.5%
Charlotte: 85.2%
vs
Minnesota: 70.7%
Assists (L5)
+12.9% more
Charlotte: 27.2
vs
Minnesota: 23.7
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+5.7%
Charlotte: 39.5%
vs
Minnesota: 33.8%
Field Goal % (L5)
+5.7%
Charlotte: 48.0%
vs
Minnesota: 42.3%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
CHA Score
112.0
122
MIN Score
108.0
108
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
33.8 / 39.5
37.0 / 42.0
Assists
23.7 / 27.2
24.0 / 31.0
Blocks
6.0 / 4.5
4.0 / 2.0
Field Goal %
42.3 / 48.0
46.0 / 49.0
Free Throw %
70.7 / 85.2
78.0 / 87.0
Rebounding
44.1 / 46.8
39.0 / 46.0
Steals
8.3 / 6.6
8.0 / 8.0
Turnovers
13.4 / 12.2
18.0 / 15.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
CHA
45-39-0
(53.6%)
Margin: 4.4
ATS +/-: +4.4
MIN
Advantage
55-39-0
(58.5%)
Margin: 2.2
ATS +/-: -0.8
🎯 ATS (Spread)
CHA
Advantage
50-34-0
(59.5%)
Margin: 4.4
ATS +/-: +4.4
MIN
42-52-0
(44.7%)
Margin: 2.2
ATS +/-: -0.8
⚖️ Over/Under
CHA
32-52-0
O: 38.1% / U: 61.9%
Total +/-: -3.4
MIN
43-51-0
O: 45.7% / U: 54.3%
Total +/-: +0.8
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
MIN
CHA
MIN
CHA
ML
54%
63-53
61%
60-39
54%
50-43
48%
40-44
ATS
58%
67-49
60%
59-40
54%
50-43
48%
40-44
TTL
63%
72-43-1
58%
57-42
100%
93-0
100%
84-0
Contextual Game News
Tyler Kolek's Girlfriend Spills: Knicks Parade Police Mix-Up Hap…
Matt Barnes: Clippers Are Cursed, Urges Steve Ballmer to Rebrand
ATLAS League Launches to Crown World Champion in High School Bas…
Bill Self's Revamped Kansas Roster Built for Another National Ti…
Phillies' 2027 Forecast: Four Farmhands Ready to Step Up