PHOENIX
SUNSPHX
42-35 | Road
120
CHICAGO
BULLSCHI
29-48 | Home
110
AI Model Win Probability
SUNS
0%
BULLS
100%
SUNS
--
BULLS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
221.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+7.0
CHICAGO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around CHI +7.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CHI)
PHX By 1-7 points
26.2%
PHX By 8-14 points
25.3%
CHI By 1-7 points
15.3%
CHI By 8-14 points
5.8%
AI Model Projected Score
Phoenix
114
PHOENIX
Chicago
107
CHICAGO
Simulated Score
Phoenix
112
PHOENIX
Chicago
118
CHICAGO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Suns
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Bulls
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Bulls (+11.5)
Win
Proj Spread: +7.0
D
Sim
Bulls (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -6.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u241.5
Win
Proj Total: 221.0
D
Sim
u241.5
Win
Proj Total: 230.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Apr 5, 2026
PHX @ CHI
120 - 110
Mar 5, 2026
CHI @ PHX
105 - 103
Mar 19, 2025
CHI @ PHX
121 - 127
Feb 22, 2025
PHX @ CHI
121 - 117
Jan 22, 2024
CHI @ PHX
113 - 115
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5)
+26.2% more
Phoenix: 7.7
vs
Chicago: 5.7
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+4.6%
Phoenix: 36.6%
vs
Chicago: 32.0%
Turnovers (L5)
+23.5% more
Chicago: 16.5
vs
Phoenix: 13.4
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
PHX Score
114.0
120
CHI Score
107.0
110
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
32.0 / 36.6
26.0 / 41.0
Assists
24.7 / 26.2
26.0 / 22.0
Blocks
4.6 / 4.8
2.0 / 6.0
Field Goal %
45.9 / 45.6
45.0 / 51.0
Free Throw %
68.8 / 69.5
78.0 / 77.0
Rebounding
41.8 / 40.5
46.0 / 41.0
Steals
5.7 / 7.7
10.0 / 10.0
Turnovers
16.5 / 13.4
19.0 / 16.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
PHX
Advantage
46-42-0
(52.3%)
Margin: 0.7
ATS +/-: +1.4
CHI
31-51-0
(37.8%)
Margin: -5.2
ATS +/-: -1.9
🎯 ATS (Spread)
PHX
Advantage
50-38-0
(56.8%)
Margin: 0.7
ATS +/-: +1.4
CHI
39-43-0
(47.6%)
Margin: -5.2
ATS +/-: -1.9
⚖️ Over/Under
PHX
40-48-0
O: 45.5% / U: 54.6%
Total +/-: -1.6
CHI
38-44-0
O: 46.3% / U: 53.7%
Total +/-: +0.5
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CHI
PHX
CHI
PHX
ML
56%
54-42
57%
60-45
57%
46-35
51%
45-43
ATS
65%
62-33-1
58%
59-43-3
57%
46-35
51%
45-43
TTL
58%
56-40
59%
61-42-2
100%
81-0
100%
88-0
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