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NEW YORK

ISLANDERSNYI

42-30-5  |  Road

3
FINAL
Sat, Apr 4 • 7:00 PM ET
Lenovo Center
View Odds Details →

CAROLINA

HURRICANESCAR

48-21-6  |  Home

4
Goaltending
Ilya Sorokin
GOALTENDER

Ilya Sorokin

#30 | Goaltender
@
Brandon Bussi
GOALTENDER

Brandon Bussi

#32 | Goaltender
Player W-L-OTL GAA SV% SO
Ilya Sorokin None-None 4.24 0.900 --
Brandon Bussi None-None 3.01 0.813 --
None-None W-L-OTL None-None
4.24 GAA Ldr 3.01
0.900 Ldr Save % 0.813
-- SO --
AI Model Win Probability
ISLANDERS
100%
📊
HURRICANES
0%
ISLANDERS --
HURRICANES --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
6.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-4.0
CAROLINA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +4.0 points (Carolina)
IslandersNYI (-3.5) 0 HurricanesCAR (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Islanders Cover

2.3%

Hurricanes Cover

97.7%

+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around CAR -4.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CAR)

NYI By 1 goal

0.9%

NYI By 2-3 goals

0.3%

CAR By 1 goal

6.6%

CAR By 2-3 goals

29.6%

AI Model Projected Score
1
NEW YORK
5
CAROLINA
Simulated Score
1
NEW YORK
5
CAROLINA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Hurricanes Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Hurricanes Win
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI Hurricanes (-1.5) Win
Proj Goals: -4.0
D
Sim Hurricanes (+0) Win
Proj Goals: -4.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u6.5 Loss
Proj Total: 6.0
D
Sim u6.5 Win
Proj Total: 6.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Apr 14, 2026 CAR @ NYI 2 - 1
Apr 4, 2026 NYI @ CAR 3 - 4
Oct 30, 2025 NYI @ CAR 2 - 6
Mar 30, 2025 NYI @ CAR 4 - 6
Jan 25, 2025 CAR @ NYI 2 - 3
Key Model Drivers
Shots on Goal (L5) +39.9% more
Carolina: 31.3 vs New York: 22.4
Power Play % (L5) +16.9%
Carolina: 20.5% vs New York: 3.6%
Blocked Shots (L5) +11.4% more
New York: 12.3 vs Carolina: 10.9
Hits (L5) +11.2% more
New York: 22.5 vs Carolina: 20.0
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
NYI Score 1.0 3
CAR Score 5.0 4
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
11%TICKETS89%
32%MONEY68%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
26%TICKETS74%
15%MONEY85%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
39%TICKETS61%
58%MONEY42%
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CAR
NYI
CAR
NYI
ML
80% 4-1
75% 3-1
40% 2-3
50% 2-2
ATS
60% 3-2
50% 2-2
80% 4-1
25% 1-3
TTL
0% 0-5
67% 2-1-1
20% 1-4
100% 3-0-1
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
Contextual Game News
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