Home / NHL Projections NHL / Avalanche @ Stars COL @ DAL

COLORADO

AVALANCHECOL

49-15-10  |  Road

2
FINAL
Sat, Apr 4 • 3:00 PM ET
American Airlines Center
View Odds Details →

DALLAS

STARSDAL

45-19-12  |  Home

0
Goaltending
Scott Wedgewood
GOALTENDER

Scott Wedgewood

#41 | Goaltender
@
Casey DeSmith
GOALTENDER

Casey DeSmith

#1 | Goaltender
Player W-L-OTL GAA SV% SO
Scott Wedgewood None-None 0.00 1.000 1
Casey DeSmith None-None 1.03 0.952 --
None-None W-L-OTL None-None
0.00 Ldr GAA 1.03
1.000 Ldr Save % 0.952
1 Ldr SO --
AI Model Win Probability
AVALANCHE
100%
📊
STARS
0%
AVALANCHE --
STARS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
4.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-2.0
DALLAS
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +2.0 points (Dallas)
AvalancheCOL (-3.5) 0 StarsDAL (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Avalanche Cover

15.9%

Stars Cover

84.1%

+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around DAL -2.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (DAL)

COL By 1 goal

6.6%

COL By 2-3 goals

3.7%

DAL By 1 goal

17.5%

DAL By 2-3 goals

37.2%

AI Model Projected Score
1
COLORADO
3
DALLAS
Simulated Score
2
COLORADO
4
DALLAS
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Stars Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Stars Loss
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI Stars (+1.5) Loss
Proj Goals: -2.0
D
Sim Stars (+0) Loss
Proj Goals: -2.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u6.5 Win
Proj Total: 4.0
D
Sim u6.5 Win
Proj Total: 6.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Apr 4, 2026 COL @ DAL 2 - 0
Mar 18, 2026 DAL @ COL 2 - 1
Mar 6, 2026 COL @ DAL 5 - 4
Oct 11, 2025 DAL @ COL 5 - 4
Oct 4, 2025 COL @ DAL 2 - 3
Key Model Drivers
Blocked Shots (L5) +63.8% more
Dallas: 16.1 vs Colorado: 9.8
Hits (L5) +32.4% more
Dallas: 19.7 vs Colorado: 14.9
Takeaways (L5) +16.8% more
Dallas: 4.7 vs Colorado: 4.0
Faceoff % (L5) +4.1%
Colorado: 53.4% vs Dallas: 49.3%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
COL Score 1.0 2
DAL Score 3.0 0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
68%TICKETS32%
67%MONEY33%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
34%TICKETS66%
55%MONEY45%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
60%TICKETS40%
69%MONEY31%
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
DAL
COL
DAL
COL
ML
33% 1-2
67% 2-1
33% 1-2
67% 2-1
ATS
0% 0-3
67% 2-1
33% 1-2
33% 1-2
TTL
100% 3-0
33% 1-2
33% 1-2
67% 2-1
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
Contextual Game News
Islanders Shuffle Defense Pairings in Wake of Romanov's ACL Tear
si 7 hours, 46 minutes ago
Steelers Bolster Secondary with Addition of Veteran Cornerback S…
si 1 day, 1 hour ago
Islanders Defy Doubters with Four Stars on ESPN Top 100 List
si 1 day, 13 hours ago
Sharks Stunned: Celebrini Sidelined by Lower-Body Injury Moments…
yahoo 2 days, 19 hours ago
Sharks' Celebrini Sidelined with Lower-Body Injury in Loss to St…
yahoo 2 days, 20 hours ago