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UTAH

MAMMOTHUTA

39-30-6  |  Road

7
FINAL
Sat, Apr 4 • 7:00 PM ET
Rogers Arena
View Odds Details →

VANCOUVER

CANUCKSVAN

22-45-8  |  Home

4
Goaltending
Karel Vejmelka
GOALTENDER

Karel Vejmelka

#70 | Goaltender
@
Nikita Tolopilo
GOALTENDER

Nikita Tolopilo

#60 | G
Player W-L-OTL GAA SV% SO
Karel Vejmelka None-None 4.00 0.826 --
Nikita Tolopilo None-None 6.17 0.750 --
None-None W-L-OTL None-None
4.00 Ldr GAA 6.17
0.826 Ldr Save % 0.750
-- SO --
AI Model Win Probability
MAMMOTH
100%
📊
CANUCKS
0%
MAMMOTH --
CANUCKS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
7.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
VANCOUVER
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (Vancouver)
MammothUTA (-3.5) 0 CanucksVAN (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Mammoth Cover

30.9%

Canucks Cover

69.1%

+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around VAN -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (VAN)

UTA By 1 goal

12.1%

UTA By 2-3 goals

9.3%

VAN By 1 goal

19.7%

VAN By 2-3 goals

29.6%

AI Model Projected Score
3
UTAH
4
VANCOUVER
Simulated Score
4
UTAH
2
VANCOUVER
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Canucks Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Mammoth Win
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI Canucks (+1.5) Loss
Proj Goals: -1.0
D
Sim Mammoth (-0) Win
Proj Goals: -2.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o6.5 Win
Proj Total: 7.0
D
Sim u6.5 Win
Proj Total: 6.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Apr 4, 2026 UTA @ VAN 7 - 4
Feb 2, 2026 VAN @ UTA 2 - 6
Dec 5, 2025 UTA @ VAN 4 - 1
Mar 16, 2025 UTA @ VAN 3 - 1
Feb 23, 2025 VAN @ UTA 1 - 2
Key Model Drivers
Blocked Shots (L5) +145.7% more
Vancouver: 12.9 vs Utah: 5.3
Hits (L5) +20.6% more
Vancouver: 22.5 vs Utah: 18.6
Shots on Goal (L5) +14.5% more
Vancouver: 25.2 vs Utah: 22.0
Power Play % (L5) +31.0%
Utah: 33.0% vs Vancouver: 2.0%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
UTA Score 3.0 7
VAN Score 4.0 4
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
92%TICKETS8%
78%MONEY22%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
73%TICKETS27%
94%MONEY6%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
53%TICKETS47%
83%MONEY17%
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
VAN
UTA
VAN
UTA
ML
60% 3-2
60% 3-2
40% 2-3
60% 3-2
ATS
40% 2-3
60% 3-2
40% 2-3
60% 3-2
TTL
40% 2-3
60% 3-2
40% 2-3
80% 4-1
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
Contextual Game News
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