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MONTREAL

CANADIENSMTL

44-21-10  |  Road

4
FINAL
Sat, Apr 4 • 7:00 PM ET
Prudential Center
View Odds Details →

NEW JERSEY

DEVILSNJ

39-34-2  |  Home

3
Goaltending
Jakub Dobes
GOALTENDER

Jakub Dobes

#75 | Goaltender
@
Jake Allen
GOALTENDER

Jake Allen

#34 | Goaltender
Player W-L-OTL GAA SV% SO
Jakub Dobes None-None 2.77 0.921 --
Jake Allen None-None 2.77 0.897 --
None-None W-L-OTL None-None
2.77 GAA 2.77
0.921 Ldr Save % 0.897
-- SO --
AI Model Win Probability
CANADIENS
100%
📊
DEVILS
0%
CANADIENS --
DEVILS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
7.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
NEW JERSEY
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (New Jersey)
CanadiensMTL (-3.5) 0 DevilsNJ (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Canadiens Cover

30.9%

Devils Cover

69.1%

+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around NJ -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (NJ)

MTL By 1 goal

12.1%

MTL By 2-3 goals

9.3%

NJ By 1 goal

19.7%

NJ By 2-3 goals

29.6%

AI Model Projected Score
3
MONTREAL
4
NEW JERSEY
Simulated Score
3
MONTREAL
5
NEW JERSEY
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Devils Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Devils Loss
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI Devils (+1.5) Win
Proj Goals: -1.0
D
Sim Devils (+0) Loss
Proj Goals: -2.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o6.5 Win
Proj Total: 7.0
D
Sim u6.5 Win
Proj Total: 8.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Apr 5, 2026 NJ @ MTL 3 - 0
Apr 4, 2026 MTL @ NJ 4 - 3
Nov 6, 2025 MTL @ NJ 3 - 4
Feb 8, 2025 NJ @ MTL 4 - 0
Jan 25, 2025 NJ @ MTL 4 - 3
Key Model Drivers
Takeaways (L5) +22.8% more
New Jersey: 4.6 vs Montreal: 3.7
Shots on Goal (L5) +13.1% more
New Jersey: 33.6 vs Montreal: 29.7
Blocked Shots (L5) +53.1% more
Montreal: 19.6 vs New Jersey: 9.2
Hits (L5) +20.3% more
Montreal: 22.2 vs New Jersey: 17.7
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
MTL Score 3.0 4
NJ Score 4.0 3
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
72%TICKETS28%
47%MONEY53%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
37%TICKETS63%
77%MONEY23%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
49%TICKETS51%
38%MONEY62%
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
NJ
MTL
NJ
MTL
ML
33% 1-2
67% 2-1
67% 2-1
33% 1-2
ATS
0% 0-3
67% 2-1
33% 1-2
100% 3-0
TTL
0% 0-2-1
33% 1-2
50% 1-1-1
67% 2-1
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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