Home / NHL Projections NHL / Wild @ Senators MIN @ OTT

MINNESOTA

WILDMIN

42-21-12  |  Road

4
FINAL
Sat, Apr 4 • 1:00 PM ET
Canadian Tire Centre
View Odds Details →

OTTAWA

SENATORSOTT

39-26-10  |  Home

1
Goaltending
Jesper Wallstedt
GOALTENDER

Jesper Wallstedt

#30 | Goaltender
@
Linus Ullmark
GOALTENDER

Linus Ullmark

#35 | Goaltender
Player W-L-OTL GAA SV% SO
Jesper Wallstedt None-None 1.00 0.971 --
Linus Ullmark None-None 4.00 0.826 --
None-None W-L-OTL None-None
1.00 Ldr GAA 4.00
0.971 Ldr Save % 0.826
-- SO --
AI Model Win Probability
WILD
100%
📊
SENATORS
0%
WILD --
SENATORS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
7.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
OTTAWA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (Ottawa)
WildMIN (-3.5) 0 SenatorsOTT (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Wild Cover

30.9%

Senators Cover

69.1%

+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around OTT -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (OTT)

MIN By 1 goal

12.1%

MIN By 2-3 goals

9.3%

OTT By 1 goal

19.7%

OTT By 2-3 goals

29.6%

AI Model Projected Score
3
MINNESOTA
4
OTTAWA
Simulated Score
2
MINNESOTA
4
OTTAWA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Senators Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Senators Loss
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI Senators (+1.5) Loss
Proj Goals: -1.0
D
Sim Senators (+0) Loss
Proj Goals: -2.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o6.5 Loss
Proj Total: 7.0
D
Sim u6.5 Win
Proj Total: 6.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Apr 4, 2026 MIN @ OTT 4 - 1
Dec 13, 2025 OTT @ MIN 2 - 3
Feb 1, 2025 MIN @ OTT 0 - 6
Dec 29, 2024 OTT @ MIN 3 - 1
Apr 2, 2024 OTT @ MIN 2 - 3
Key Model Drivers
Power Play % (L5) +61.4%
Ottawa: 63.5% vs Minnesota: 2.2%
Hits (L5) +31.0% more
Ottawa: 25.6 vs Minnesota: 19.5
Faceoff % (L5) +11.6%
Ottawa: 58.7% vs Minnesota: 47.2%
Shots on Goal (L5) +35.6% more
Minnesota: 37.7 vs Ottawa: 24.3
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
MIN Score 3.0 4
OTT Score 4.0 1
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
53%TICKETS47%
66%MONEY34%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
77%TICKETS23%
20%MONEY80%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
57%TICKETS43%
50%MONEY50%
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
OTT
MIN
OTT
MIN
ML
0% 0-3
67% 2-1
67% 2-1
33% 1-2
ATS
0% 0-3
33% 1-2
67% 2-1
33% 1-2
TTL
67% 2-1
100% 3-0
67% 2-1
67% 2-1
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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