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DETROIT

RED WINGSDET

40-27-8  |  Road

1
FINAL
Sat, Apr 4 • 12:30 PM ET
Madison Square Garden
View Odds Details →

NEW YORK

RANGERSNYR

31-36-9  |  Home

4
Goaltending
John Gibson
GOALTENDER

John Gibson

#36 | Goaltender
@
Jonathan Quick
GOALTENDER

Jonathan Quick

#32 | Goaltender
Player W-L-OTL GAA SV% SO
John Gibson None-None 3.24 0.842 --
Jonathan Quick None-None 1.00 0.970 --
None-None W-L-OTL None-None
3.24 GAA Ldr 1.00
0.842 Save % Ldr 0.970
-- SO --
AI Model Win Probability
RED WINGS
0%
📊
RANGERS
100%
RED WINGS --
RANGERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
4.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-2.0
DETROIT
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +2.0 points (Detroit)
Red WingsDET (-3.5) 0 RangersNYR (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Red Wings Cover

84.1%

Rangers Cover

15.9%

-6-4-20+2+4+6
Distribution centered around DET -2.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (DET)

DET By 1 goal

17.5%

DET By 2-3 goals

37.2%

NYR By 1 goal

6.6%

NYR By 2-3 goals

3.7%

AI Model Projected Score
3
DETROIT
1
NEW YORK
Simulated Score
5
DETROIT
2
NEW YORK
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Red Wings Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Red Wings Loss
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI Red Wings (+1.5) Loss
Proj Goals: -2.0
D
Sim Red Wings (-0) Loss
Proj Goals: -3.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u6.5 Win
Proj Total: 4.0
D
Sim u6.5 Win
Proj Total: 7.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Oct 2, 2026 NYR @ DET 2 - 0
Apr 4, 2026 DET @ NYR 1 - 4
Nov 16, 2025 DET @ NYR 2 - 1
Nov 7, 2025 NYR @ DET 4 - 1
Nov 9, 2024 NYR @ DET 4 - 0
Key Model Drivers
Takeaways (L5) +13.1% more
Detroit: 5.6 vs New York: 4.8
Shots on Goal (L5) +12.9% more
Detroit: 25.1 vs New York: 21.9
Power Play % (L5) +24.2%
New York: 48.5% vs Detroit: 24.3%
Hits (L5) +22.4% more
New York: 27.6 vs Detroit: 22.5
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
DET Score 3.0 1
NYR Score 1.0 4
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
77%TICKETS23%
77%MONEY23%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
50%TICKETS50%
91%MONEY9%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
44%TICKETS56%
55%MONEY45%
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
NYR
DET
NYR
DET
ML
80% 4-1
67% 2-1
40% 2-3
33% 1-2
ATS
80% 4-1
33% 1-2
60% 3-2
67% 2-1
TTL
60% 3-2
0% 0-3
60% 3-2
33% 1-2
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
Contextual Game News
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