ATLANTA
HAWKSATL
44-33 | Road
141
BROOKLYN
NETSBKN
18-58 | Home
107
AI Model Win Probability
HAWKS
0%
NETS
100%
HAWKS
--
NETS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
222.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-26.0
ATLANTA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +26.0 points (Atlanta)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around ATL -26.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (ATL)
ATL By 1-7 points
2.7%
ATL By 8-14 points
9.3%
BKN By 1-7 points
0.4%
BKN By 8-14 points
0.0%
AI Model Projected Score
Atlanta
124
ATLANTA
Brooklyn
98
BROOKLYN
Simulated Score
Atlanta
109
ATLANTA
Brooklyn
112
BROOKLYN
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Hawks
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Nets
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Hawks (+17.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -26.0
D
Sim
Nets (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -3.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u224.5
Loss
Proj Total: 222.0
D
Sim
u224.5
Win
Proj Total: 221.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Apr 3, 2026
ATL @ BKN
141 - 107
Mar 12, 2026
BKN @ ATL
97 - 108
Feb 22, 2026
BKN @ ATL
104 - 115
Oct 29, 2025
ATL @ BKN
117 - 112
Apr 10, 2025
ATL @ BKN
133 - 109
Key Model Drivers
Rebounding (L5)
+25.3% more
Atlanta: 45.7
vs
Brooklyn: 34.1
Assists (L5)
+23.3% more
Atlanta: 28.7
vs
Brooklyn: 22.0
Blocks (L5)
+20.7% more
Atlanta: 4.9
vs
Brooklyn: 3.9
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+9.1%
Atlanta: 38.9%
vs
Brooklyn: 29.8%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
ATL Score
124.0
141
BKN Score
98.0
107
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
29.8 / 38.9
43.0 / 51.0
Assists
22.0 / 28.7
24.0 / 36.0
Blocks
3.9 / 4.9
4.0 / 9.0
Field Goal %
43.0 / 48.7
49.0 / 57.0
Free Throw %
78.0 / 77.2
85.0 / 79.0
Rebounding
34.1 / 45.7
33.0 / 41.0
Steals
9.6 / 10.3
10.0 / 11.0
Turnovers
15.8 / 13.6
20.0 / 13.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
ATL
Advantage
48-40-0
(54.6%)
Margin: 1.1
ATS +/-: +0.3
BKN
20-62-0
(24.4%)
Margin: -10.0
ATS +/-: -1.3
🎯 ATS (Spread)
ATL
Advantage
46-42-0
(52.3%)
Margin: 1.1
ATS +/-: +0.3
BKN
38-43-1
(46.9%)
Margin: -10.0
ATS +/-: -1.3
⚖️ Over/Under
ATL
44-44-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0%
Total +/-: +0.1
BKN
37-45-0
O: 45.1% / U: 54.9%
Total +/-: -0.7
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
BKN
ATL
BKN
ATL
ML
53%
50-45
50%
52-52
59%
48-34
55%
48-40
ATS
52%
48-44-3
53%
55-48-1
59%
48-34
55%
48-40
TTL
57%
54-41
53%
55-48-1
100%
82-0
100%
88-0
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