AI Model Win Probability
BULLS
100%
KNICKS
0%
BULLS
--
KNICKS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
247.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-3.0
NEW YORK
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +3.0 points (New York)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around NY -3.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (NY)
CHI By 1-7 points
21.6%
CHI By 8-14 points
10.7%
NY By 1-7 points
27.2%
NY By 8-14 points
20.1%
AI Model Projected Score
Chicago
122
CHICAGO
New York
125
NEW YORK
Simulated Score
Chicago
102
CHICAGO
New York
115
NEW YORK
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Knicks
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Knicks
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Knicks (+14.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -3.0
D
Sim
Knicks (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -13.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o237.5
Loss
Proj Total: 247.0
D
Sim
u237.5
Win
Proj Total: 217.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Apr 3, 2026
CHI @ NY
96 - 136
Feb 22, 2026
NY @ CHI
105 - 99
Nov 2, 2025
CHI @ NY
116 - 128
Oct 31, 2025
NY @ CHI
125 - 135
Feb 20, 2025
CHI @ NY
111 - 113
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5)
+11.6% more
New York: 28.0
vs
Chicago: 25.1
Free Throw % (L5)
+8.9%
New York: 83.2%
vs
Chicago: 74.2%
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+5.6%
New York: 38.1%
vs
Chicago: 32.5%
Field Goal % (L5)
+2.0%
New York: 49.3%
vs
Chicago: 47.3%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
CHI Score
122.0
96
NY Score
125.0
136
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
38.1 / 32.5
38.0 / 31.0
Assists
28.0 / 25.1
30.0 / 24.0
Blocks
3.8 / 5.8
3.0 / 2.0
Field Goal %
49.3 / 47.3
53.0 / 43.0
Free Throw %
83.2 / 74.2
89.0 / 58.0
Rebounding
43.0 / 44.7
54.0 / 36.0
Steals
6.9 / 6.5
11.0 / 4.0
Turnovers
15.3 / 16.8
9.0 / 16.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
CHI
31-51-0
(37.8%)
Margin: -5.2
ATS +/-: -1.9
NY
Advantage
70-32-0
(68.6%)
Margin: 8.0
ATS +/-: +3.5
🎯 ATS (Spread)
CHI
39-43-0
(47.6%)
Margin: -5.2
ATS +/-: -1.9
NY
Advantage
58-44-0
(56.9%)
Margin: 8.0
ATS +/-: +3.5
⚖️ Over/Under
CHI
38-44-0
O: 46.3% / U: 53.7%
Total +/-: +0.5
NY
47-55-0
O: 46.1% / U: 53.9%
Total +/-: -1.4
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
NY
CHI
NY
CHI
ML
61%
114-72
56%
54-42
56%
57-45
57%
46-35
ATS
67%
124-62
65%
62-33-1
56%
57-45
57%
46-35
TTL
72%
133-53
58%
56-40
100%
102-0
100%
81-0