OKLAHOMA
SOONERSOU
20-15 | Road
82
BAYLOR
BEARSBAY
17-16 | Home
69
AI Model Win Probability
SOONERS
0%
BEARS
100%
SOONERS
--
BEARS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
150.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-6.0
OKLAHOMA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +6.0 points (Oklahoma)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around OU -6.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (OU)
OU By 1-7 points
26.8%
OU By 8-14 points
24.3%
BAY By 1-7 points
16.9%
BAY By 8-14 points
6.8%
AI Model Projected Score
Oklahoma
78
OKLAHOMA
Baylor
72
BAYLOR
Simulated Score
Oklahoma
72
OKLAHOMA
Baylor
75
BAYLOR
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Sooners
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Bears
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Sooners (-1.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -6.0
D
Sim
Bears (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -3.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u159.5
Win
Proj Total: 150.0
D
Sim
u159.5
Win
Proj Total: 147.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Apr 4, 2026
OU @ BAY
82 - 69
Feb 13, 2024
OU @ BAY
62 - 79
Feb 8, 2023
OU @ BAY
72 - 82
Jan 21, 2023
BAY @ OU
62 - 60
Mar 10, 2022
OU @ BAY
72 - 67
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+56.4% more
Oklahoma: 5.5
vs
Baylor: 2.4
Assists (L5)
+11.1% more
Oklahoma: 15.3
vs
Baylor: 13.6
Field Goal % (L5)
+3.0%
Baylor: 47.8%
vs
Oklahoma: 44.8%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
OU Score
78.0
82
BAY Score
72.0
69
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
32.3 / 31.6
20.0 / 36.0
Assists
13.6 / 15.3
8.0 / 19.0
Blocks
2.4 / 5.5
5.0 / 3.0
Field Goal %
47.8 / 44.8
39.0 / 50.0
Free Throw %
81.6 / 80.6
75.0 / 88.0
Rebounding
34.3 / 36.9
38.0 / 33.0
Steals
6.6 / 6.8
5.0 / 7.0
Turnovers
8.5 / 8.7
12.0 / 8.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
OU
Advantage
21-16-0
(56.8%)
Margin: 5.5
ATS +/-: +0.9
BAY
17-17-0
(50.0%)
Margin: 5.3
ATS +/-: -1.1
🎯 ATS (Spread)
OU
Advantage
17-19-1
(47.2%)
Margin: 5.5
ATS +/-: +0.9
BAY
15-18-0
(45.5%)
Margin: 5.3
ATS +/-: -1.1
⚖️ Over/Under
OU
19-18-0
O: 51.3% / U: 48.7%
Total +/-: +1.8
BAY
17-16-0
O: 51.5% / U: 48.5%
Total +/-: +3.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
BAY
OU
BAY
OU
ML
58%
19-14
78%
28-8
53%
17-15
59%
20-14
ATS
58%
19-14
72%
26-10
53%
17-15
59%
20-14
TTL
45%
15-18
75%
27-9
100%
32-0
100%
34-0
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