Home / MLB Projections MLB / Mariners @ Angels SEA @ LAA

SEATTLE

MARINERSSEA

3-4  |  Road

3
FINAL
Fri, Apr 3 • 9:38 PM ET
Angel Stadium
View Odds Details →

LOS ANGELES

ANGELSLAA

3-4  |  Home

1
Probable Pitchers
Gabe Speier
STARTING PITCHER

Gabe Speier

#55 | Relief Pitcher
@
Reid Detmers
STARTING PITCHER

Reid Detmers

#48 | Starting Pitcher
Player W-L ERA WHIP IP K
Gabe Speier None-None 5.40 -- 1.0 1
Reid Detmers None-None 2.38 -- 6.2 4
None-None W-L None-None
5.40 ERA Ldr 2.38
-- WHIP --
1.0 IP (Innings Pitched) Ldr 6.2
1 K (Strikeouts) Ldr 4
AI Model Win Probability
MARINERS
0%
📊
ANGELS
100%
MARINERS --
ANGELS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
5.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+1.0
LOS ANGELES
Book Spread
--
Book Line
MarinersSEA (-3.5) 0 AngelsLAA (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Mariners Cover

40.1%

Angels Cover

59.9%

-12-8-40+4+8+12
Distribution centered around LAA +1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (LAA)

SEA By 1-2 runs

19.6%

SEA By 3-4 runs

16.3%

LAA By 1-2 runs

16.3%

LAA By 3-4 runs

10.6%

AI Model Projected Score
3
SEATTLE
2
LOS ANGELES
Simulated Score
3
SEATTLE
5
LOS ANGELES
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Mariners Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Angels Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI Angels (+1.5) Win
Proj Runs: +1.0
D
Sim Angels (+1.5) Loss
Proj Runs: -2.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u8.0 Win
Proj Total: 5.0
D
Sim u8.0 Win
Proj Total: 8.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Sep 27, 2026 LAA @ SEA 3 - 7
Sep 26, 2026 LAA @ SEA 4 - 8
Sep 25, 2026 LAA @ SEA 7 - 5
Sep 24, 2026 LAA @ SEA 6 - 4
Sep 16, 2026 SEA @ LAA 7 - 2
Season Statistics Comparison
Seattle SEA
vs
Los Angeles LAA
162
Games Played
162
4.10 ▲
Runs / Game
4.04
.233
Avg (AVG)
▲ .234
.314 ▲
On-Base (OBP)
.310
.379 ▲
Slugging (SLG)
.369
.693 ▲
OPS
.679
182 ▲
Home Runs
154
Key Model Drivers
Hits (L5) +20.9% more
Seattle: 6.8 vs Los Angeles: 5.4
Strikeouts (L5) +15.7% more
Seattle: 10.0 vs Los Angeles: 8.5
Home Runs (Season) +15.4% more
Seattle: 182.0 vs Los Angeles: 154.0
Total Bases (L5) +14.5% more
Seattle: 9.6 vs Los Angeles: 8.2
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
SEA Score 3.0 3
LAA Score 2.0 1
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors 1.3 / 1.0 0.0 / 0.0
Hits 5.4 / 6.8 1.0 / 7.0
Home Runs 0.7 / 0.5 0.0 / 0.0
Strikeouts 8.5 / 10.0 7.0 / 12.0
Total Bases 8.2 / 9.6 1.0 / 9.0
Walks 5.3 / 2.6 6.0 / 1.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
85%TICKETS15%
84%MONEY16%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
69%TICKETS31%
88%MONEY12%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
50%TICKETS50%
39%MONEY61%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
SEA Advantage
76-86-0 (46.9%)
Margin: -0.4 ATS +/-:
LAA
62-100-0 (38.3%)
Margin: -0.6 ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
SEA
(37.0%)
Margin: -0.4 ATS +/-:
LAA Advantage
(50.6%)
Margin: -0.6 ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
SEA
86-68-8
O: 55.8% / U: 44.2% Total +/-: +0.7
LAA
71-88-3
O: 44.7% / U: 55.4% Total +/-: +0.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
LAA
SEA
LAA
SEA
ML
59% 96-66
50% 81-81
55% 89-73
52% 85-77
ATS
60% 97-65
60% 98-64
51% 82-80
59% 95-67
TTL
53% 83-74-5
56% 85-67-10
52% 82-75-5
53% 81-71-10
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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