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ST. LOUIS

BLUESSTL

31-31-12  |  Road

6
FINAL
Fri, Apr 3 • 10:00 PM ET
Honda Center
View Odds Details →

ANAHEIM

DUCKSANA

41-29-5  |  Home

2
Goaltending
Joel Hofer
GOALTENDER

Joel Hofer

#30 | Goaltender
@
Lukas Dostal
GOALTENDER

Lukas Dostal

#1 | Goaltender
Player W-L-OTL GAA SV% SO
Joel Hofer None-None 2.01 0.926 --
Lukas Dostal None-None 6.03 0.793 --
None-None W-L-OTL None-None
2.01 Ldr GAA 6.03
0.926 Ldr Save % 0.793
-- SO --
AI Model Win Probability
BLUES
100%
📊
DUCKS
0%
BLUES --
DUCKS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
3.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
ANAHEIM
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (Anaheim)
BluesSTL (-3.5) 0 DucksANA (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Blues Cover

30.9%

Ducks Cover

69.1%

+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around ANA -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (ANA)

STL By 1 goal

12.1%

STL By 2-3 goals

9.3%

ANA By 1 goal

19.7%

ANA By 2-3 goals

29.6%

AI Model Projected Score
1
ST. LOUIS
2
ANAHEIM
Simulated Score
2
ST. LOUIS
4
ANAHEIM
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Ducks Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Ducks Loss
50% Win Prob
B
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI Ducks (+1.5) Loss
Proj Goals: -1.0
D
Sim Ducks (+0) Loss
Proj Goals: -2.0
B
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u6.5 Loss
Proj Total: 3.0
D
Sim u6.5 Win
Proj Total: 6.0
B
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Apr 3, 2026 STL @ ANA 6 - 2
Mar 8, 2026 STL @ ANA 4 - 0
Dec 1, 2025 ANA @ STL 4 - 1
Mar 16, 2025 ANA @ STL 2 - 7
Mar 7, 2025 STL @ ANA 4 - 3
Key Model Drivers
Blocked Shots (L5) +138.7% more
Anaheim: 15.0 vs St. Louis: 6.3
Takeaways (L5) +62.7% more
Anaheim: 5.8 vs St. Louis: 3.5
Faceoff % (L5) +12.7%
Anaheim: 47.4% vs St. Louis: 34.7%
Hits (L5) +11.3% more
Anaheim: 18.5 vs St. Louis: 16.6
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
STL Score 1.0 6
ANA Score 2.0 2
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
23%TICKETS77%
31%MONEY69%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
47%TICKETS53%
14%MONEY86%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
50%TICKETS50%
68%MONEY32%
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
ANA
STL
ANA
STL
ML
33% 1-2
33% 1-2
67% 2-1
67% 2-1
ATS
33% 1-2
67% 2-1
33% 1-2
33% 1-2
TTL
33% 1-2
50% 1-1-1
0% 0-3
50% 1-1-1
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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