Home / NHL Projections NHL / Canucks @ Wild VAN @ MIN

VANCOUVER

CANUCKSVAN

22-44-8  |  Road

2
FINAL
Thu, Apr 2 • 8:00 PM ET
Grand Casino Arena
View Odds Details →

MINNESOTA

WILDMIN

41-21-12  |  Home

5
Goaltending
Nikita Tolopilo
GOALTENDER

Nikita Tolopilo

#60 | G
@
Filip Gustavsson
GOALTENDER

Filip Gustavsson

#32 | Goaltender
Player W-L-OTL GAA SV% SO
Nikita Tolopilo None-None 4.19 0.895 --
Filip Gustavsson None-None 2.00 0.939 --
None-None W-L-OTL None-None
4.19 GAA Ldr 2.00
0.895 Save % Ldr 0.939
-- SO --
AI Model Win Probability
CANUCKS
100%
📊
WILD
0%
CANUCKS --
WILD --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
4.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-2.0
MINNESOTA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +2.0 points (Minnesota)
CanucksVAN (-3.5) 0 WildMIN (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Canucks Cover

15.9%

Wild Cover

84.1%

+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around MIN -2.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (MIN)

VAN By 1 goal

6.6%

VAN By 2-3 goals

3.7%

MIN By 1 goal

17.5%

MIN By 2-3 goals

37.2%

AI Model Projected Score
1
VANCOUVER
3
MINNESOTA
Simulated Score
2
VANCOUVER
4
MINNESOTA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Wild Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Wild Win
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI Wild (-1.5) Win
Proj Goals: -2.0
D
Sim Wild (+0) Win
Proj Goals: -2.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u6.5 Loss
Proj Total: 4.0
D
Sim u6.5 Win
Proj Total: 6.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Apr 2, 2026 VAN @ MIN 2 - 5
Dec 6, 2025 MIN @ VAN 2 - 4
Nov 1, 2025 VAN @ MIN 2 - 5
Apr 12, 2025 MIN @ VAN 3 - 2
Mar 7, 2025 MIN @ VAN 1 - 3
Key Model Drivers
Shots on Goal (L5) +49.5% more
Minnesota: 37.7 vs Vancouver: 25.2
Takeaways (L5) +20.0% more
Minnesota: 5.4 vs Vancouver: 4.5
Hits (L5) +8.2% more
Vancouver: 22.7 vs Minnesota: 20.8
Faceoff % (L5) +2.1%
Vancouver: 49.2% vs Minnesota: 47.2%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
VAN Score 1.0 2
MIN Score 3.0 5
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
8%TICKETS92%
11%MONEY89%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
20%TICKETS80%
7%MONEY93%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
59%TICKETS41%
56%MONEY44%
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
MIN
VAN
MIN
VAN
ML
67% 2-1
50% 2-2
33% 1-2
25% 1-3
ATS
33% 1-2
25% 1-3
33% 1-2
50% 2-2
TTL
100% 3-0
50% 2-2
67% 2-1
50% 2-2
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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